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Phased Development & Osmosis

“If real development is to take place, the people have to be involved.”

Fragile States Index (cont.)
World
Ranking 2020 Change from 2019

101 Guyana 66 Positive decrease 2.2
105 Namibia 65.1 Positive decrease 1.3
106 Cape Verde 64.8 Positive decrease 1.8
108 Ghana 64.2 Positive decrease 1.7
121 Botswana 57.1 Positive decrease 2.4
126 Seychelles 54.7 Positive decrease 0.5
149 USA 38.3 Negative increase 0.3
149 UK 38.3 Negative increase 1.6
153 Mauritius 37.2 Positive decrease 1.7
Source: Wikipedia
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Phasing in Development of Underdeveloped African Countries
Africa has 54 countries. There is no grouping of 54 nations anywhere in the world where

the countries would not have a wide diversity of circumstances.

As set out elsewhere in this narrative, the continent of modern day Africa can readily
be seen as a multi-tiered, multi-layered mosaic. Each layer providing a difference to the

makeup of a locality. And the interaction of the different layers leading to where no two
African governments face exactly the same difficulties. There are very definitely shared

difficulties but each African country has its own unique combination of these.

Designing a guidance tool for making decisions in a way that best phases in
development would require an understanding of

 Key Variables

Key variables are for the most part relatively easy to identify. One example might be
the level of fragmentation in a country.
(The level of fragmentation is likely to be one indicator of the potential for social conflict whenever aid
donors impose 'conditionalities' that 'go too far too soon').
 Interactive relationships between Variables

Different variables will clearly interact. And some interactions can be seen to have
the potential to generate a positive impact and others a negative one. The structure
of the guidance tool for phasing development has to ensure that no interactive
variables are allowed to get seriously misaligned.