Page 58 - TFWA World Exhibit 2024 Special Edition
P. 58

INSIDER



          IWSR: GTR spirit sales above pre-pandemic levels for value as premiumization
          remains key segment driver


              Beverage alcohol sales in the global
          travel retail (GTR) channel have overtaken
          pre-pandemic levels in value terms – but
          volumes remain persistently soft due to
          shrinking basket sizes and fragile consumer
          confidence, according to the latest market
          data from IWSR.
              Total beverage alcohol volumes in
          GTR rose by +5% in 2023, but remain
          down in the longer term, having decreased
          at a CAGR of -4% between 2018 and 2023.
              The value picture, however, is
          altogether brighter, with revenues up by
          +21% in 2023 alone, and rising at a CAGR
          of +3% between 2018 and 2023. Value has
          grown 14% over 2019, but volumes remain
          down, by 18%.
              “Helped by price increases and a
          resilient premiumization trend, the value   Tequila and champagne helped to drive travel retail sales in 2023. Above: Pernod Ricard
          of the global travel retail channel is now   Global Travel Retail launched Código 1530 Tequila in travel retail with a vibrant pop-up
          ahead of 2019 levels,” says Charlotte Reid,   event at Terminal 4 in New York’s JFK Airport this July. Below: Champagne Lanson launched
          GTR Senior Insights Manager, IWSR.   Le Black Creation last year with an increased level of airport activations.
              “Footfall is now pretty closely aligned
          with previous levels, but shrinking basket   +5% between 2023 and 2028 – outstripped   helped to drive overall travel retail
          sizes highlight more cautious post-  by anticipated value growth of +7% over   performance in 2023, but there was
          pandemic consumers, with confidence   the same timescale.            subdued growth for whisky and rum – and
          impacted by day-to-day inflationary                                  falls for gin and vodka
          pressures.”                       Global travel retail beverage alcohol   Champagne, agave-based spirits
              IWSR says that there is an expectation   trends                  and Cognac all saw double-digit volumes
          that GTR will continue to outperform the   IWSR identified a number of key   growth rates, with agave spirits and Cognac
          global wine and spirits market in the years   trends for beverage alcohol in global travel   expected to grow strongly in the coming
          ahead – but volumes will continue to come   retail.                  years. Tequila in particular is building
          under pressure, with growth falling slightly   Premiumization remains an important   momentum beyond the U.S. and Mexico,
          below the anticipated increase in passenger   facet in global travel retail, as consumers   and in Europe and Asia especially
          numbers.                          are continuing to trade up. Within spirits,   However, a decline for blended Scotch
              Geopolitical pressures, most notably   there has been a rise in promotional activity   (-3% in volume, 2022-23) impacted overall
          the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle   in the super-premium and ultra-premium   whisky performance in all regions except
          East, will also impact growth levels, along   price band levels through price strategies   for Asia Pacific. By contrast, single malt
          with the results of a number of elections in   and larger presence of twin packs and 70cl.   Scotch and U.S. whiskey added volume to
          major markets, and the general health of   This is driving sales and accounting for   the category in GTR during 2023 (at +24%
          the global economy.               almost US$4 out of every US$10 spent   and +18% respectively).
              As a result, IWSR forecasts expect   on spirits in this channel. This trend is   The overall Scotch category is
          that GTR volumes will rise at a CAGR of   expected to continue, with the volume   expected to regain momentum in travel
                                            share of premium-plus products increasing   retail in the years ahead, at volume CAGR
                                            from 48% in 2023 to 50% by 2028.   of +6%, 2023-2028.
                                                Travel Retail sales in APAC have   The GTR audience was already
                                            been vibrant, up 46% in value terms during   changing before the onset of COVID-19 in
                                            2023 and +34% in volume terms, with   2020, but the emergence of a younger and
                                            Taiwan, Thailand, Singapore and Australia   more female GTR consumer base has to an
                                            returning to pre pandemic value levels.   extent been shaped by the pandemic.
                                            India drives the most incremental volume   The increased prevalence of digital
                                            and value for the region.          makes the channel more relevant to LDA
                                                Meanwhile, Europe remains the most   Gen Z travelers, who are keen to use GTR
                                            established region in global GTR – but it   to explore and research niche products.
                                            is projected to see its share fall below 50%   The cruise sector is now fully
                                            this year as its dominance is slowly eroded.  resurgent following the devastating impact
                                                Champagne and agave-based spirits   of the COVID-19 pandemic.

          October 2024                                                                             58
   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61   62   63