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                                                                        3.2 UTILITY FUNCTIONS                    87

                      APPLICA TION  3.1
                      Influencing Your Preferences                        As can be seen in Figure 3.10, Super Bowl ad

                                                                       prices gradually rose over time to the record price in
                      The theory of consumer behavior assumes that the in-  2009. Ad prices tend to be higher when a more excit-
                      difference map for a consumer is given exogenously  ing game is anticipated. For example, prices rose dra-
                      and remains fixed. In reality, a consumer’s preferences  matically for the 1998 Super Bowl, when the Denver
                      can change over time, and with age, education, or ex-  Broncos upset the Green Bay Packers for the champi-
                      perience. Preferences may also change as a result of  onship of the National Football League in a very close
                      actions designed to influence consumer attitudes  game. Prices sometimes decline during a recession, as
                      about goods and services.                        they did in 2001 and 2002. Despite the severe reces-
                         Firms often pay great sums of money for the op-  sion in 2009, prices rose. As a result, NBC was re-
                      portunity to influence your preferences by advertis-  ported to have more difficulty selling all of the com-
                      ing. For example, for the telecast of the 2009 Super  mercial slots than in prior years (both FedEx and
                      Bowl, NBC was able to charge an average of $3 mil-  General Motors, regular Super Bowl advertisers, did
                      lion for each 30-second commercial. Why would an  not buy ads that year). Average prices may have been
                      advertiser pay so much? Super Bowl ratings are al-  higher because many ads were sold prior to
                      ways high, regardless of how interesting the game  September 2008, when the recession began to be felt
                      is. When ratings are high, advertisers know their  most strongly.
                      messages will reach millions of households. In addi-  The government and interest groups can also
                      tion, while TV viewers often find commercials to be  influence consumer preferences. For example, in
                      an annoyance, that changes during the Super Bowl.  1953 the American Cancer Society issued its own
                      Many viewers look forward to the humorous and    warning about smoking, when it published a report
                      creative ads that companies run during the game.  linking cigarette smoking with cancer. Some govern-
                      Furthermore, advertisers get extra publicity from  ments require cigarette producers to place graphic
                      good ads, since the media discusses Super Bowl ads  pictures (e.g., of oral cancer) on packages as a warn-
                      at great length.                                 ing to consumers about the dangers of smoking.


                                                                    Super Bowl Ad Prices
                                                                       (30-second ad)
                               $3,000,000

                               $2,500,000
                             Price (2009 dollars)  $2,000,000



                               $1,500,000
                               $1,000,000

                                $500,000

                                     $0
                                       1969    1974     1979    1984     1989    1994     1999    2004     2009
                                                                          Year

                       FIGURE 3.10    Prices of Super Bowl Television Ads
                       The prices of 30-second ads are expressed in 2009 dollars.
                       Sources: Advertising Age for 1969–2007; Reuters for 2008–2009.
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