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               B.  DETAILED REPORT


               4.      Detailed findings and recommendations

               4.1     1st Priority: Operational risk and industrial action in Australia

               A faulty design in one of our coal mineshafts in Australia has led to a hurriedly-executed controlled

               shutdown  with  80  persons  trapped  underneath  initially  but  now  rescued.  Every  death  is  one  too
               many  but  the  reported  6  cases  means  we  are  now  1  shy  away  from  exceeding  our  worse
               performance  in  ‘work  related  fatalities’  in  the  last  2  years  (page  14  –case  study).    Whilst  the
               controlled shut down is unresolved, we are  losing US$ 250,000 daily and experts warn of a  total
               collapse  of  the  mineshaft  if  we  resume  operation,  worsening  our  already  battered  reputation  for

               safety around the world. Our very existence is dependent on securing the license to operate which
               depends  on  our  safety  record.  To  make  matters  worse,  we  are  faced  with  potentially  fraudulent
               safety  statistics  (see  section  5  –ethics),  as  well  as  the  choice  of  whether  or  not  to  resume

               operations, sink a new mineshaft or short down the current one permanently. There is also the need
               to urgently reach a decision on the 7-day notice to strike and  how to bring finality to an ongoing
               protected strike that is threatening to engulf the group.

               4.1.1  Mineshaft decision
               Restart  production:  The  CEO’s  instruction  is  that  we  should  resume  operations  immediately  and
               inform investors that it was a minor problem now resolved. Apart from the ethical implications (see

               section 5 of this report), experts have warned this could deal a fatal blow to safety, so we rule out
               this option.

               Close down and sink a new mineshaft:  Appendix 3 shows the NPV is positive at US$ 4 million if we
               exclude the costs of closing the current one and it is –US$ 1 million if we include it. Waiting time is a
               year and with that, a full year’s loss of earnings. Raising the US$130 million may become an issue at

               a time we need every cash we can get to pay down debt. Effectively, the cost is the same amount
               we would have paid the contractors as capital expenditure to sink the initial shaft and this further
               payment  significantly  eats  into  the  NPV  of  this  project  which  would  have  been  at  least  US$  135
               million.


               Close down the shaft permanently: This will save the need to commit a further US$135 million but it
               will  mean  foregoing  9  years’  worth  of  earnings  or  we  will  be  forced  to  ramp  up  coal  production

               elsewhere or buy in the open market to honour our 2017 coal futures contracts.

               4.1.2  7-day notice to strike
                                                       Developed by The CharterQuest Institute for 'The CFO Business Case Study Competition 2017'
                                                                          www.charterquest.co.za | Email: thecfo@charterquest.co.za
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