Page 62 - FINAL CFA SLIDES JUNE 2019 DAY 2
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Session Unit 2:
LOS 8.k: Describe the relative locations of the mean, median, 8. Statistical Concepts and Market Returns
and mode for a unimodal, non-symmetrical distribution.
Example (CQ): Suppose CharterQuest draws from the last 8 years of its operations, the following sample observations about the % of CFA-
registered students who did not sit the final exams (at the first opportunity after enrolling for the course): 12% 13% 54% 56% 25%.
CFA Institute KPI to maintain accreditation is: Mean ≤ 30% with positive skew permitted; or Mean ≤ 40% with only negative skew permitted!
Determine if CQ will maintain its accreditation at the next review in December 2018?
Step 1: Skewness is about whether mean observations are tilted right or left of the distribution; and with what degree of standardised risk
(variability = standard deviation); so, first thing is to determine the sample mean and the sample standard deviation: But what
CQ failing does CFA
Why? Check Sk formula to meet Institute
targets! really
mean?
2
2
2
X = (12% + 13% + 54% + 56% + 25%) = 160% = 32% S = {(12% – 32%) + …+ (25% – 32%) }/5 = 374%; Hence,
5 5 S = 374% 1/2 = 19.34%
Step 2: Calculate the skewness:
S k = 1 * {(12% – 32%) + … + (25% – 32%) } = 1 * (- 8000% – 6859% + … – 343%); Sk= 0.256 Meaning?
3
3
5 7233.309%
5 19.34% cubed +, data has a positively skewed
Right skewed: Mean = 32% distribution: Meaning?
+ sample skewness because the Median = 12% 13% 25% 54% 56%
deviations above the mean are Mode = None but 12% and 13% are close!
larger on average. What do you observe in relation to graph of the left?
12%/13% <25% < 32% Mode <Median < Mean! One interpretation!
Mode <Median < Mean!
Or, Lets check deviations ABOVE the mean: (54%-32%) and (56% - 32%) = | 22% and 24% |
And, BELOW the mean: (12%-32*), (13%-32%) and (25%- 32%) = | -20, -19, and -7% |
Between 22% and 24% (RHS –ABOVE MEAN) and -20%, -19% and -7% (LHS –BELOW MEAN), And RHS is ABOVE the mean, right?
we know these will net to zero, but in ABSOLUTE TERMS RHS > LHS right?
We can infer from this sample skew result about the population of CFA-Level 1 students as follows:
LETS KILL THE CFA
JARGON! Although 32%, on average do not take their exams immediately following their CQ course, there are far
worse cases above that average than there are below that average!
Get is: Did we meet CFA accreditation? What now?