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Chapter 12
2.2 Argenti’s A score – a key qualitative model
Suggests there are three connected areas that indicate likely failure and that
failure follows a predictable pattern (this may take many years, possibly 5 or
more).
Each area is divided into further headings and scores are given under each of
these headings.
1 Defects Divided into:
Management weaknesses, e.g. autocratic chief
executive, lack of balance of skills in management
team
Accounting deficiencies, e.g. no budgetary
control, no cash flow plans
A score of more than 10/45 is unsatisfactory
2 Mistakes The defects will result in mistakes, i.e:
made
High gearing
Overtrading
Failure of a big project
A score of more than 15/45 is unsatisfactory
3 Symptoms of Visible symptoms of failure:
failure
Financial signs (appear towards the end of the failure
process)
Creative accounting, e.g. over-valued inventory
Non-financial signs, e.g. frozen management salaries,
delayed capital expenditure
Terminal signs (at the end of the failure process the
financial and non-financial signs become very obvious)
Companies scoring more than 25 show many of the signs preceding failure and
are a cause for concern.
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