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Chapter 12




               2.2  Argenti’s A score – a key qualitative model

                    Suggests there are three connected areas that indicate likely failure and that
                     failure follows a predictable pattern (this may take many years, possibly 5 or
                     more).


                    Each area is divided into further headings and scores are given under each of
                     these headings.

                     1     Defects          Divided into:


                                                 Management weaknesses, e.g. autocratic chief
                                                  executive, lack of balance of skills in management
                                                  team

                                                 Accounting deficiencies, e.g. no budgetary
                                                  control, no cash flow plans

                                            A score of more than 10/45 is unsatisfactory



                     2     Mistakes         The defects will result in mistakes, i.e:
                           made
                                                 High gearing

                                                 Overtrading

                                                 Failure of a big project

                                            A score of more than 15/45 is unsatisfactory



                     3     Symptoms of      Visible symptoms of failure:
                           failure
                                            Financial signs (appear towards the end of the failure
                                            process)

                                            Creative accounting, e.g. over-valued inventory


                                            Non-financial signs, e.g. frozen management salaries,
                                            delayed capital expenditure


                                            Terminal signs (at the end of the failure process  the
                                            financial and non-financial signs become very obvious)


                    Companies scoring more than 25 show many of the signs preceding failure and
                     are a cause for concern.






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