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         from imported aluminum, as does Coca-          without the added tariffs. Meanwhile, he       in Oregon, but the company has sourced
         Cola. General Electric imports some            suspects his Chinese suppliers are get-        carbon steel from overseas since the
         parts from China for the high-tech medi-       ting in on the trade war by raising prices     1970s, which means it now pays the 25%
         cal equipment it makes in Wisconsin.           as a form of retaliation, as parts he used     tariff. Competitors that import finished
         And American retailers source many             to get for a penny now cost five cents.        products rather than raw materials into
         of their goods from overseas too; when         “This is hurting companies that never          the U.S. aren’t paying one at all. So com-
         Walmart pledged to buy more American-          made anything in China,” he said.              pany president Jay Zidell says he’s ex-
         made goods in 2013, the $50 billion it            Trying to source parts from the U.S.        ploring the idea of buying semiforged fit-
         committed made up just 1.5% of what it         alone would be nearly impossible. As           tings overseas and importing them. That
         spent that year buying goods globally.         U.S. manufacturers stopped  making             would mean closing down part of his
            As for St. Pierre, the company                                                                   plant and laying off workers. “What
         made the decision to buy some                                                                       choice do we have?” he says.
         parts overseas when it began to                                                                        Other companies, including
         face growing competition in the                                                                     General Motors and Winnebago,
         1970s from cheaper foreign prod-                                                                    have announced plant closings
         ucts; prices had to come down if it                                                                 and layoffs since the tariffs were
         was going to keep customers. Peter                                                                  enacted last year. “It’s a hard situa-
         St. Pierre says his father used to get                                                              tion for  companies—even though
         nervous to raise suggested retail                                                                   they’ve invested in the U.S., Presi-
         prices by even a quarter. Now, with                                                                 dent Trump and the tariffs are
         the tariffs, the younger St. Pierre is                                                              making it impossible to keep em-
         asking for $3 to $5 more. Further                                                                   ployment at current levels,” said
         complicating matters: even the                                                                      Christina Fattore, a political sci-
         American- made steel the company                                                                    ence professor at West Virginia
         already uses for its horseshoes is                                                                  University. Manufacturing em-
         causing problems, its price having                                                                  ployment, which had been increas-
         increased 40% over the past year as                                                                 ing steadily since the recession, has
         tariffs on Chinese steel intensified                                                                leveled off in recent months.
         demand for the domestic product.                                                                       Some American manufactur-
         “Everything we do here is steel-                                                                    ers have adapted by charging more
         related,” says St. Pierre, “and over                                                                for high-quality products, but they
         the last year or so, the price of steel                                                             worry that customers’ patience
         has been going up and up.”                                                                          with higher prices is running out.
                                                                                                             In a 2017 Ipsos/Reuters poll, 69%
         TodAy’s TrAde wAr comes at a                                                                        of American consumers said price
         particularly difficult time for U.S.                                                                was very important to them and
         manufacturers. E-commerce tech-                                                                     77% said quality was, while only
         nology is making it possible for                                                                    32% said it was very important
         retailers to stock fewer items on                                                                   that a product was made in the
         shelves and to fill orders only when                                                                USA. Many U.S. manufacturers
         needed, resulting in better effi-                                                                   are already selling products at a
         ciency for stores but fewer orders                                  △                               premium, because their workers
         for manufacturers. And rising minimum               St. Pierre has been making pitching       have more labor protections and higher
         wages, while a boon to workers, are in-          horseshoes since 1938 and is now the only    wages than those in China, and they fear
         creasing labor costs. That means fewer           company that still forges them in the U.S.   the trade war may push prices past what
         units are being made, St. Pierre says, and                                                    consumers are willing to pay.
         each one costs more.                           products that were more available                 Which is why Peter St. Pierre is
            The problem is clear to business own-        elsewhere— resistors and semiconduc-          worried about tacking that extra couple
         ers like Morris Kessler, who started an        tors for companies like Kessler’s, for         of dollars onto price tags. Some retailers
         amplifier company in 1967. Today, that           example— Chinese suppliers filled the        have already stopped stocking more
         company, ATI, makes high-end ampli-            void. Establishing new supply chains           expensive U.S.-made horseshoes in
         fiers and audio equipment in Southern          would take years.                              recent years, he says, and replaced
         California. Kessler’s experience shows            In fact, as the trade war continues,        them with lower- quality sets from
         how tariffs put companies that source          some American manufacturers may begin          China. “It may get to a point where not
         components globally but make products          buying more parts from overseas, rather        enough people are going to want to buy
         in the U.S. at a disadvantage: European        than fewer. Tube Forgings of America has       horseshoe sets made in the USA,” Peter
         competitors can undercut his prices be-        made steel fittings for energy facilities in   St. Pierre says. “It really is getting more
         cause they can buy Chinese components          the U.S. since 1954; the fittings are made     and more challenging.”                    

         14    Time June 3–10, 2019
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