Page 39 - The Economist Asia January 2018
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The Economist January 27th 2018
                                                                                                 Middle East and Africa 39
             2 pean Central Bank. Since the introduction  wantFrance outofthe currencyaltogether.  Political prisoners in Ethiopia
              ofthe euro, income per person in the franc  Yet elites do rather well out of the sys-
              zone has grown at 1.4% a year, compared  tem, which makes it easier to send wealth Setting them free
              with 2.5% in all ofsub-Saharan Africa.  abroad. And a weaker currency would in-
                Blaming the currency for slow develop-  crease the cost of imported goods. The
              ment is “absurd”, says Ismaël Dem, direc-  only devaluation, in 1994, sparked riots.
              torgeneral ofeconomyand currencyat the  The recenthistoryofthe central African
              west African central bank. He argues that  zone is telling. A slump in oil prices from  ADDIS ABABA
                                                                                   The regime flirts with letting dissidents
              the exchange rate iswhere itshould be and  2014 widened fiscal and current-account  speakwithoutlocking them up
              that countries such as Ivory Coast are  deficits, putting pressure on the peg. Re-
              booming. But the franc zone still depends,  servescovered justovertwo monthsof im-  IFE in Maekelawi, a prison in Addis Aba-
              as in colonial days, on the export of raw  ports at the end of 2016. Yet most leaders Lba, the capital ofEthiopia, had a predict-
              materials. And the central African coun-  signed onto IMF programmesto cutspend-  able rhythm. Three times a day, Atnaf Ber-
              tries, despite sharing a currency, export  ingratherthan move the exchange rate.   hane and Befekadu Hailu were hauled
              more to France than they do to each other.  In west Africa, meanwhile, politicians  from the dank, dark cell they nicknamed
                Calls for reform are becoming louder.  pay lip service to the idea of a single cur-  “Siberia” for three hours of interrogation
              Carlos Lopes, a former executive secretary  rency for all countries in the region. But  and beating. Mr Hailu was flogged across
              of the UN Economic Commission for Afri-  that would require small oil importers to  his bare feet with an electric cable. Mr Ber-
              ca, advocates tying the CFA franc to a bas-  throw in their lot with Nigeria, a huge oil  hane escaped thisparticularcruelty. “I was
              ket of currencies, such as the dollar and  exporter. Although the  CFA franc is un-  lucky,” he says.
              yuan. Others think the exchange rate  loved, the alternatives are risky. It will sur-  The two Ethiopian activists, members
              should fluctuate around a target. Radicals  vive forsome time yet. 7  ofa blogginggroup known as Zone 9, were
                                                                                   arrested in 2014. After three months in
                                                                                   Maekelawi they were charged with terro-
               Integrity idols
                                                                                   rism. After 18 months behind bars those
               Good clean entertainment                                            charges were dropped, though both are
                                                                                   still accused of the lesser crime of inciting
                                                                                   violence. Ethio Trial Tracker, a website,
                                                                                   claims that 923 Ethiopians are in prison on
               Can a realityTVshowdiscourage corruption?
                                                                                   terrorism charges. Human Rights Watch, a
                  HE timingcould not have been better.                             pressure group, counts thousands more
               TIn the same weekas two civil servants                              detained fortheirpolitical opinions.
               in Nigeria appeared in court forembez-                                The ruling Ethiopian People’s Revolu-
               zlingfunds earmarked forInternational                               tionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) has a
               Anti-Corruption Day, the finalists of                                habit, always denied, of jailing its political
               “Integrity Idol” were announced. In this                            opponents. So many observers were sur-
               reality television show, honest civil                               prised when, on January 3rd, the govern-
               servants workingin corrupt countries                                mentannounced plansto release some po-
               compete forglory, fame and, occasional-                             litical prisoners, turn Maekelawi into a
               ly, a live chicken. The show is a hit: over                         museum and “widen the democratic
               10m people have watched it and more                                 space”. On January17th it freed Merera Gu-
               than 400,000 have cast theirvotes in                                dina, the country’s most prominent oppo-
               favouroftheirIntegrity Idols.                                       sition leader, along with 527 other prison-
                 “Integrity Idol” started in Nepal in                              ers. The attorney-general said more
               2014 and has since spread to Pakistan,                              prisoners would be released in the coming
               Mali, Liberia, Nigeria and South Africa.                            months, including some of those convict-
               Five finalists, vetted by a panel of judges,                         ed ofterrorist offences. “Ifthe government
               are chosen to be interviewed. They ex-                              means what it says, then it has a chance to
               plain why they deserve the prize. “I come  politics. Elected officials may not be  write a new chapter in Ethiopian history,”
               to worklate. My boss could ask‘Why are  nominated. Nor, in some countries, may  says Mr Merera. Since his release thou-
               you late?’ (…) I say I slept a little longer.  people in the army. Even so, the show  sands have come to see him, some bring-
               Say it the way it is! Face the conse-  delivers a punch in the face to crooked  ingoxen to slaughterin the festivities.
               quences!” one nominee exhorts.   politicians and theircronies, sometimes  After years ofanti-government protests
                 It is not always easy to find good  just by its timing: in Liberia last year, it  and a nine-month state of emergency that
               contestants. The Nigerian nomination  aired while presidential elections were  was lifted last August, some detect signs of
               period was extended because ofthe poor  embroiled in fraud investigations.  change inside the EPRDF. For months the
               quality ofentrants. “People were nomi-  It is difficult to know what impact the  party blamed dissent on “foreign ene-
               natingtheirauntie because she gave  show is having, though the Massachu-  mies” and local malcontents. But this
               them money,” says Odeh Friday, who  setts Institute ofTechnology has begun to  month it issued a statement admitting to
               runs the campaign. Others thought they  measure it. Change may be gradual.  “mistakes” and promising more democra-
               qualified because they came to work on  Gareth Newham at the Institute ofSecu-  cy. The anti-terror law is being revised and
               time. One policeman was surprised by  rity Studies in South Africa thinks its  otherrepressive bills may be changed.
               his nomination because, he explained,  greatest contribution will be in changing  Yet one should not read too much into
               he was involved in shady contracts.  attitudes. “Too many youngpeople be-  all this. Most of the prisoners whose cases
               Anothernominee resigned afterhe real-  lieve that you can only get a job if you  were dropped were minor figures. Promi-
               ised that background checks might dig up  belongto the [rulingparty]. What has  nent activists from Oromia and Amhara,
               old dirt.                        been missingis a focus on the ordinary  the country’s two most populous regions
                 “Integrity Idol” claims to steerclear of  people who do good work.”   and hotbeds of unrest, are still being held.
                                                                                   Any changes made to draconian laws will  1
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