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                                                                                                 U.S. NEWS Friday 7 July 2017























            American Living:
                     Where’s my raise? 5 reasons pay isn’t rising much for many




            By  CHRISTOPHER  S.  RU-                                                                                            But that doesn’t mean em-
            GABER                                                                                                               ployers didn’t want to low-
            AP Economics Writer                                                                                                 er pay during the recession,
            WASHINGTON (AP) — Eight                                                                                             given  their  falling  revenue
            years  after  the  Great  Re-                                                                                       and profits. So to offset the
            cession ended, the econo-                                                                                           cost of leaving wages un-
            my is steadily churning out                                                                                         touched, many employers
            jobs,  and  the  unemploy-                                                                                          have withheld raises as the
            ment  rate  is  at  a  16-year                                                                                      economy  has  improved.
            low.                                                                                                                Economists  at  Bank  of
            Yet  for  most  Americans,  a                                                                                       America Merrill Lynch have
            key measure of economic                                                                                             calculated  that  the  share
            health — pay growth — still                                                                                         of  workers  whose  wages
            lags  behind  pre-recession                                                                                         didn’t  budge  —  up  or
            norms.                                                                                                              down  —  rose  sharply  dur-
            That  isn’t  likely  to  change                                                                                     ing  the  recession  and  still
            Friday, when the Labor De-                                                                                          hasn’t  returned  to  healthy
            partment  will  release  the                                                                                        levels.
            U.S.  jobs  report  for  June.
            Economists  have  forecast                                                                                           MOVING DOWN THE PAY
            that   employers    added                                                                                                     SCALE
            a  solid  177,000  jobs  last                                                                                       The recession not only sent
            month and that the unem-                                                                                            unemployment  soaring.  It
            ployment  rate  remained                                                                                            also inflicted pain on other
            4.3  percent,  the  lowest                                                                                          people who weren’t tech-
            level  since  2001.  The  job   A construction worker continues work on a condominium project in Coral Gables, Fla. On Friday,   nically  unemployed.  One
                                         July 7, 2017, the Labor Department will release the U.S. jobs report for June.
            market, in other words, has                                                                    (AP Photo/Alan Diaz)  gauge  measures  the  pro-
            proved itself resilient.                                                                                            portion  of  part-time  work-
            Pay  raises  are  another                                                                                           ers  who  would  prefer  full-
            story,  and  a  puzzling  one.   covery from the recession:  $36,900.                  haven’t received one.        time  jobs  —  a  category
            Analysts expect Friday’s re-                                                           Until 2014, more Americans   that  soared  during  the  re-
            port to show that average       BABY BOOMERS OUT,            CAUTIOUS EMPLOYEES        actually expected their in-  cession.  Another  barom-
            hourly  wages  rose  just  2.6   YOUNGER COMING IN        Asking  for  a  raise  is  never  comes  to  fall  rather  than   eter  counts  people  who
            percent  from  a  year  ear-  One  drag  on  average  easy. It’s even harder when  rise. And the proportion of      have  given  up  their  job
            lier, according to data pro-  salaries  is  demographic:  memories  remain  fresh  of  Americans  who  expected     hunts and so are no longer
            vider  FactSet.  That’s  well   Higher-paid baby boomers  a  time  when  nearly  9  mil-  a raise didn’t reach pre-re-  counted as unemployed.
            below the 3 percent to 3.5   are  retiring  in  droves,  and  lion  people  were  thrown  cession levels until late last   Millions of those Americans
            percent average pay rais-    in  many  cases  they’re  be-  out of work and the unem-  year.                        have  gained  full-time  jobs
            es that have been typical    ing replaced by lower-paid  ployment rate rocketed to  “People are out of practice     in the past eight years, but
            in a healthy economy.        younger  workers.  Roughly  10  percent,  as  happened  when  it  comes  to  asking    in  many  cases  at  much
            The Federal Reserve moni-    10,000  Americans  turn  65  during and after the 2008-   for  higher  pay,”  said  Mark   lower  pay.  The  Federal
            tors  the  barometers  of    every  day.  And  while  not  2009 Great Recession. Even  Zandi,  chief  economist  at   Reserve Bank of San Fran-
            wage  growth  for  any  evi-  all retire, most do.        now,  some  people  remain  Moody’s Analytics.            cisco  calculated  last  year
            dence  that  inflation  might   For  younger  workers,  es-  reluctant to approach their                            that  80  percent  of  those
            be starting to pick up. Infla-  pecially  those  who  lack  boss  and  ask  to  be  paid   WAGES GOT STUCK          formerly  part-time  workers
            tion  has  remained  persis-  advanced  education,  in-   more.                        Even  as  they  slashed  jobs   who obtained full-time jobs
            tently low since the reces-  comes have declined over  One  measure  of  this  trend  during  the  recession,  em-  did so at wages below the
            sion  ended  —  lower  even   the  past  four  decades.  A  is  the  Conference  Board’s  ployers  generally  refrained   national  median  level  of
            than  the  Fed’s  2  percent   typical American in the 25-  consumer  confidence  sur-  from  cutting  pay  for  their   pay.
            target  rate,  which  it  re-  to-34  age  range  earned  vey. The survey asks people  remaining  workers.  Econo-  And  people  who  are  un-
            gards  as  consistent  with  a   $34,800  in  2016,  accord-  whether  they  expect  their  mists  say  that  isn’t  surpris-  employed  or  who  have
            healthy economy.             ing  to  the  Census  Bureau.  income  to  increase  within  ing: Employers tend not to   stopped  looking  altogeth-
            Here  are  five  reasons  why   Once  you  adjust  for  infla-  six  months.  The  more  likely  cut  pay  for  workers  who   er  are  typically  hired  at
            pay  growth  has  lagged     tion, that’s less than in 1975,  they  are  to  expect  a  pay  survive a round of layoffs to   wages  about  30  percent
            chronically   behind   job   when  the  typical  worker  gain,  the  more  likely  they  avoid  further  demoralizing   below the median pay, re-
            growth  for  most  of  the  re-  in  that  age  group  earned  are to ask for a raise if they  a staff.             search has found.q
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