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Don’t Make Me Say I Told You So                                     85




        How Much of a Difference Will the Rate of

        Rerturn Make?



        Here are the  numbers  for a $100,000  retirement  investment
        portfolio, using the real return numbers from the chart showing


        returns for cash, bonds, and stocks after inflation and taxes:

           Value of a $100,000 Investment After Taxes and In ation

                                     Stocks    Gov’t Bonds      T-Bills
                 Number of Years
                                      5.2%        0.6%          -0.8%
                         5          $128,848     $103,036      $96,093

                        10          $166,018     $106,164      $92,281

                        20          $275,622     $122,709      $85,159



           This doesn’t mean that I  believe  you should  invest all of
        your money in stocks once you retire. We discussed the risks of
        investing in stocks earlier, and a big drop in the stock market that

        creates a big drop in the value of your portfolio could severely

        hamper your hopes for a secure and prosperous retirement.

           Investors are well aware of the risks of losing money in the

        stock market, since the last 20 years has been marked by two
        dramatic drops in stock prices. As David Kelly, an economist

        for Putnam Investments, put it: “People are haunted by that
        ghost.” This has made many investors so risk-averse that many





                     Chapter 3: You Must Have Growth In Your Portfolio
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