Page 32 - Issue 9
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Nelson Mandela was the first African   Macroeconomic performance and   revenue shortfalls due to slow economic
          President of South Africa, and the   outlook                         growth. The tax revenue-to-GDP ratio
          current president is Cyril Ramaphosa.    According to the Africa Development   declined marginally to 25.7% in 2019
          Othe  others  are  Thabo  Mbeki   Bank, South Africa’s real GDP grew at an   from 25.9% in 2018. The fiscal deficit
          1999 –2008), Jacob Zuma(2009 -2018).   estimated 0.7% in 2019, down from 0.8%   is  financed through domestic  capital
          Kgalema Petrus  Motlanthe hd a short   in 2018, and is projected to rise to 1.1%   markets. National government debt was
          stint(2008-2009) , Mandela became   in 2020 and 1.8% in 2021 amid domestic   estimated at 55.6% of GDP in 2019, up
          president in May 1094.            and global downside risks. Contraction   from 52.7% in 2018.
          South Africans are passionate beer   in  agriculture  and  mining  drove  slow   Foreign debt accounted for only 6.3%
          drinkers and the sorghum-based Maheu   growth in 2019. Agriculture contracted   of GDP, ensuring sustainable debt
          is by far  the most popular brand. In   4.8% and mining 1.7% in 2018.   financing. The current account deficit
          addition,  the  Western  Cape  vineyards   Besides erratic weather, a protracted   widened to 3.5% in 2018, as the terms
          produce some excellent wines, including   debate about land reform weighed on   of trade deteriorated, with rand prices
          Pinotage,  a  deep  fruity  blend  of  the   agriculture. Electricity shortages and   of  imports  increasing  more  than  those
          pinot noir and hermitage grapes which   prolonged  strikes  contributed to  the   of exports. The current account deficit
          is unique to South Africa.        mining decline. The finance, real estate,   was financed primarily through foreign
          With its diverse geography,                                                        direct    investment
          wildlife and temperate climate,                                                     inflows,     which
          outdoor pursuits make up the                                                        grew 163% in 2018
          most popular activities in South                                                    compared with 2017.
          Africa. The country is home to                                                      U n em p lo y m en t
          a number of wildlife reserves,                                                      increased to  27.1%
          where the ‘Big Five’ (Lion,                                                         at end 2018 from
          Elephant, Buffalo, Leopard and                                                      26.5% at end 2016.
          Rhino)  can  be observed  on                                                        Youth unemployment
          safari, or there is Great White                                                     increased to  54.7%
          shark cage-diving and bungee-                                                       at end 2018 from
          jumping from the country’s                                                          51% at end 2016.
          numerous  gorges  for  the  more                                                    Among the causes of
          adventurous.                                                                        high unemployment
          South Africa has 11 official                                                        are low skills. South
          languages with geographical                                                         Africa’s poverty rate
          variations in each. The most      President Cyril Ramaphosa                        was 55.5%, and its
          widely spoken languages are Zulu,                                    inequality is among the world’s highest.
          Xhosa, Afrikaans (a derivative of Dutch)                             Economic experts observe that the
          and  English.  The African  National   and business services sector grew 1.8%   economy likely slipped into recession
          Congress (ANC) promotes English   in 2018 to contribute 0.4 percentage   in the first quarter. Supply-side activity
          as the main language of government,   point to growth. Transport grew 1.6%   collapsed due to troubles at the state-
          although indigenous languages are still   in 2018 while manufacturing grew 1%   owned  utilities  provider  Eskom;
          widely used in commerce and inter-  in 2018. Manufacturing production   manufacturing output contracted in
          province relations. Different languages   was depressed by frequent electricity   January–February; and the Covid-19
          are  attributed  to  ancestral  tribal  areas,   shortages, higher input prices, and weak   related lockdown measures hammered
          for instance Zulu is mainly spoken by   demand amid ongoing international   domestic demand in March.
          the  Bantu  people,  who  make  up  the   trade tensions.
          largest ethnic group in South Africa.  Household  and    government  Turning to the second quarter, the
          With so many languages being spoken   consumption remained a key driver of   economic panorama has deteriorated
          in one country, there are variations in   growth, contributing 1.5 percentage   even  further.  Strict  containment
          the accent and dialects of each. There is   points in 2018. Inflation was 4.7% in 2018   measures will be hammering investment
          also social and geographical variation in   and 4.4% in 2019, due to lower fuel costs.   activity and private spending, with
          South African English, which is spoken   From November 2017 to November   business confidence and the PMI diving
          by many in urban areas and has been   2018, the real exchange rate increased   to their respective record lows in April,
          adapted to suit each community.   8.1%, eroding the competitiveness   while the unemployment rate seems to
          How English is spoken is considered   of South African exports. The rand   have surged.
          an indicator of class and social   traded at 13.23 per dollar in 2018. Due   Against this backdrop, the government
          status in South Africa, for instance,   to inflation targeting, the exchange   announced an aid package of up to USD
          middle to upper classes speak with a   rate pass-through to inflation has been   26.0  billion—about 10.0%  of  GDP—to
          cultivated English based on Received   limited.                      support businesses and protect jobs and
          Pronunciation  whereas  in  more                                     boost the welfare system. Authorities are
          impoverished areas there exists a ‘post-  The fiscal deficit remained high at an   set to ease the nationwide lockdown by
          creole’ English dialect, which is often   estimated 4.3% in 2019, up from 4.2%   1 June, which should give the economy a
          mixed with other languages.       in 2018, as the country continued to face   much-needed respite.

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