Page 34 - Signal Summer 2018
P. 34

| UK SECURITY & BREXIT |



       export authorisations, for dual-use products. The poten-  UK has dropped out of multiple multinational projects in
       tial imposition of commercial tariffs is likely to have impli-  which it initially participated, such as the Boxer armoured
       cations for the defence-industrial domain.             personnel carrier, the NH90 medium transport helicop-
        At least two options for a future framework are pos-  ter and the Common New Generation Frigate project.
       sible. The UK could enter the European Economic Area   However, in the air domain it has remained engaged in
       (EEA)  or  use  the  existing  World  Trade  Organisation   cooperation, leading in the past to systems such as the
       (WTO) framework. The WTO has excluded defence and      Eurofighter Typhoon. Moreover, the UK is engaged in
       security procurement from its rules, allowing a rather flex-  the bilateral Anglo-French development of an unmanned
       ible approach to future procurements. With EEA mem-    combat aerial vehicle. Brexit will most likely not affect
       bership, the UK would ensure better access to major    ongoing procurements, beyond transfer and supply-line
       potential customers and more cooperation among EEA     issues. The UK could continue to choose equipment
       industries, but the rules would be less flexible.      from UK, European or US suppliers, take part in multi-
        A more flexible national regime on trade and transfers   national programmes and buy off the shelf, as desired. A
       could have profound political  and  industrial  conse-  withdrawal by EU countries from current major defence-
       quences if the UK wants easy access to the sizeable EU   industrial projects due to Brexit is also unlikely, as the UK’s
       market. Depending on the extent to which UK legislation   contribution is often integral to the success of the venture.
       remains compliant with – or inspired by – EU law after   Assessments  for  future  European  projects  are  more
       Brexit, the need for the UK at least to revisit its regulatory   difficult. The UK may be needed because of its financial
       approach to defence could have knockon effects for the   resources and industrial  competences. However, the
       relationship between the UK government and the British   ongoing discussions on EU defence have the potential
       defence industry. Should the EU increase the regulation   to result in the exclusion of UK defence industry from
       of its defence and security market, the impact would be   future major European defence-industrial developments,
       heightened.                                            from at least the extra funding available to EU members
        With regards to the security industry, EU regulations   and industries. The framework for future projects will be
       and standards for the various sub-sectors are increas-  critical: will multinational programmes take place in the
       ingly emerging. This may make it worthwhile for the UK   classical  setting of ‘juste retour’ and intergovernmental
       to continue to comply with EU rules, especially with future   arrangements outside the EU, or will they come increas-
       regulations emerging  from the  process of  European   ingly under the auspices of an EU framework?
       standardisation. This is important for the UK, as cyber
       security constitutes Britain’s largest securityexport cate-  Research and development
       gory, at 34% in 2016. To continue trade with EU member   In comparison to other EU states, the UK spends a
       states, alignment with EU regulations in this field is, and   noticeably greater percentage of its budget on R&D. The
       will continue to be, an advantage.                     resulting defence-industrial and academic landscape
                                                              enables not only military access to cutting-edge technol-
       Use of UK equipment and multinational                  ogy, but it also has knock-on effects for defence-industrial
       cooperation projects                                   competitiveness as new technologies are ‘spun-off’ into
        The British Army and Royal Navy almost exclusively    civil or dual-use products. The UK receives a share of its
       use British-made equipment, for example the Challenger   public research funding (€1.1bn, or £798m, in 2015) from
       2 main battle tank, the AS90 self-propelled artillery piece   the EU, indicating both competitiveness with EU states
       and essentially all naval vessels. The picture differs   and a dependency on EU funding. As the UK remains an
       for aircraft and helicopters, where the UK mostly uses   EU member until 2019, Brexit will not immediately affect
       equipment stemming from either multinational European   current EU research funding in the security, dual-use
       projects, such as the Tornado, Eurofighter Typhoon and   technology  and  defence  domains.  However,  if  it  is  not
       A400M, or imports from the US, such as the F-35, AH-64   part of the next EU research programme and budgetary
       Apache helicopter and the P-8 Poseidon maritime-patrol   plan for 2021–27, the UK’s dependency on EU funding will
       aircraft.                                              become apparent.
        UK-made equipment, in particular helicopters such       From a long-term perspective, cuts to UK funding
       as the AgustaWestland Lynx, has made inroads into      are to be expected. The lack of R&D investment would
       the inventories of European armed forces. Yet their use   be particularly challenging, as new military equipment
       is limited to Denmark, France, Germany and Portugal.   becomes more and more complex and, consequently,
       Meanwhile, British-made components, such as power      R&D becomes more intense and costly. In particular, the
       shafts, turbines and the turret of the AS90 for the new   role of universities will remain critical in ensuring the UK
       Polish self-propelled artillery system, have been sold to   remains a leading innovator.
       EU member states only in limited quantities.             A new practice for national and EU-level defence
        Multinational cooperation projects have in general been   and security funding may emerge. While governments
       a mixed success story. Like many other EU states, the   might focus on personnel and maintenance, the EU may


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