Page 34 - Banking Finance May 2020
P. 34

ARTICLE

                                                                                       Conclusion

                                                                                       The near-term damage shall
                                                                                       be significant.


                                                                                          There is a downward shift
                                                                                       in Digital Payments in March
                                                                                       since Feb. This is expected to
                                                                                       fall further by ~20% in April.

                                                                                           Due to the EMI morato-
                                                                                       rium, credit cost is expected
                                                                                       to be elevated in FY21


                                                                                            Discretionary expenses
                                                                                       shall be deferred, which shall
                                                                                       impact other fintech offerings.

                                                                                       Lakewater is positive on long
                                                                                       term bet in Indian economy.
                                                                                       Since, we are comparatively
         2008 Recession can act as a starting point to recover from  less dependent on exports; our exposure shock in context
         this fatal economic blow. However, the speed to recovery is  to world trade shall be less. Low price of crude oil shall also
         dependent on multiple drivers.
                                                              cover us from external shock. Overall, we are expecting that
                                                              PE investments shall remain strong and shall have V shaped
                                                                                       recovery soon post this
                                                                                       Corona pandemic.

                                                                                       Nonetheless, we hope, you
                                                                                       stay at home and stay healthy.

                                                                                       Reference
                                                                                       https://
                                                                                       economictimes.indiatimes.com/
                                                                                       news/economy/foreign-trade/
                                                                                       coronavirus-crisis-its-time-
                                                                                       forindia-inc-to-create-
                                                                                       opportunities/articleshow/
                                                                                       74153826.cms?from=mdr
                                                                                       https://www.thestar.com.my/
                                                                                       news/regional/2020/03/30/
                                                                                       eiu-india-to-be-fastest-
                                                                                       growing-g20-economyas-
                                                              global-gdp-shrinks
                                                              https://economics.rabobank.com/publications/2020/
                                                              march/coronavirus-economic-impact-covid-19-onindia/
                                                              India%20perspective%20COVID%2019.pdf.pdf.pdf.pdf
                                                              https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus

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