Page 29 - NILE EXPLORER
P. 29

Three  issues  make  this  looming  crisis   acknowledged by  the government, and   fall from by US$76 billion to US$70
          particularly salient  for the migrant   their importance to the health service   billion, with receiving households from
          workers who generate remittances.  demonstrated by the Home Office’s   Mexico and Central America being most
                                            decision to extend all visas of health   affected. According to another study by
          Migrant workers at risk           workers coming up for renewal by a year.  BBVA Research, remittances to Mexico
          First, as the Institute for Public Policy   But many more migrants are hidden   could fall by 17%.
          Research  think  tank  illustrated  in  a   and largely unsung heroes who continue
          recent  briefing, migrant workers tend   to work in so-called semi-skilled or   With the  global economy slowing
          to work in sectors that are particularly   unskilled jobs in sectors such as food   down even before coronavirus, and the
          vulnerable at times of an economic   manufacturing and delivery, social care   pandemic affecting different parts of
          downturn and have  less employee   and  cleaning.  High  rates  of  infection   the world over different timelines, long-
          protections. They are also more likely to   among Somali migrants in Norway, for   term  recovery  prospects are  unclear.
          be self-employed.                 example, are partly attributable to their   The particular vulnerability of poor
          Second, the access migrant workers   concentration in these “close-contact”   countries is apparent with the World
                                                                               Bank pledging US$160 billion over the
          have  to  public  funds  is  –  with  some   professions where home working is not   next 15 months to aid both immediate
          exceptions – specifically restricted   an option.
                                                                               health priorities and longer term
                                                                               economic recovery.

                                                                               It remains unclear whether that US$160
                                                                               billion is  adequate and will reach
                                                                               vulnerable  households,  particularly
                                                                               given  the  negative  impact  the  World
                                                                               Bank and IMF’s historic structural
                                                                               adjustment programmes, in which strict
                                                                               spending conditions were attached to
                                                                               aid, had  on the healthcare systems of
                                                                               many developing countries.
                                                                               In contrast, remittances – often known
                                                                               as aid that reaches its destination
                                                                               – constitute a significant safety net
                                                                               for vulnerable households. Our own
          as a condition of their visas. So it’s   The 2008 financial crisis   research shows that remittances don’t
          uncertain whether they will be able to                               just  reach  immediate  household
          access  the already limited government   The 2008 financial crash and recession   members but are also distributed among
          interventions  to  mitigate  the  effects  of   provide some indications of how this   extended family and friends. They
          the pandemic. For example, the South   crisis in migrant work may affect   also support local economies through
          African government’s initiative to help   remittance flows. Between 2008 and   family payments to shopkeepers and
          small- and medium-sized businesses   2009, remittance flows declined by 5.5%   construction workers. In regions such
          is only available for those with  South   globally. Some parts of the world saw   as the Horn of Africa, where 40% of
          African citizenship.              even  more marked declines. Transfers   households are heavily dependent upon
                                            to Latin America and the Caribbean,   remittances, any disruption in flows
          Third, and as a result of this, migrant   most originating from the US, decreased
          workers adopt  a series of strategies or   by 12%. Migrants remitted smaller   sent by the Somali diaspora will further
          tactics to cope. They often continue to   amounts, more infrequently, or in   exacerbate food insecurity.
          work in compromised circumstances,   extreme cases, stopped altogether as   How richer nations respond to the current
          such as in jobs with lower wages,   they were laid off and faced uncertain   crisis  will  have significant economic
          poor working conditions and, in the   future employment prospects.   ramifications for countries dependent
          current crisis, exposure to infection.                               on remittances. Richer nations must
          They also restrict their spending – and   Early predictions of the impact of
          contemplate a return back home.   coronavirus on remittances detail   adopt inclusive economic policies which
                                            significant declines. One study by the   both protect the livelihoods of migrants
          In the UK, some migrants are hyper-  Inter-American Dialogue estimated   and reduce the socio-economic impacts
          visible NHS doctors and nurses. Their   there would be a  7% decline in   of the pandemic. Their jobs are linked to
          labour has been somewhat belatedly   remittances from the US, which will   the survival of millions of others.


                                                                                            The Nile Explorer 008   |  29
   24   25   26   27   28   29   30   31   32   33   34