Page 171 - Proceeding of Atrans Young Researcher's Forum 2019_Neat
P. 171

“Transportation for A Better Life:
                                                                              Smart Mobility for Now and Then”

                                                                                    23 August 2019, Bangkok, Thailand

             3. Evaluation Matrix                                    There are factors facilitating and hindering
                    Looking  on  the  concerns  from  transport   NGV market development in Vietnam.
             operators and current policies, it is obvious that there   Table 3 Supporting and constraining factors of
             is  the  big  gap  between  policies  and  customer    NGV market development in Vietnam
             expectation.                                           Supporting factors      Constraining
                    Table 2. Current status on policies                                        factors
                                                                Macro
                                                                -  Steady growth of the real  -  High inflation.
                                                   Demand   Policy   -  Consistent   investment
                                                                   GDP.


                                                                   Vietnam.
                       Criterias/Country                           attractiveness     of
               Tax benefits                       +     -       -  Population growth.
               Soft-terms loans/ Subsidies for                  NGV fuel market
               conversion to gas or purchase of a new   ++   -   -  Falling  domestic  crude  -  Forecasted
               gas/fueled vehicle                                  oil   production   and    gradual
               Commercial and social preferences for               increasing   dependence   decrease   of
               NGV operators (accelerated                          on imported oil.          domestic   gas
               amortization, preferred status in   +    +       -  High  air  pollution  in   production  and
               municipal tenders etc.)                             urban areas.              increasing
               State regulation of prices for                   -  Forecasted   extensive    dependence  on
               CNG/LNG                            +     -          growth of vehicle fleet.   imported, higher
               Tax benefits/ Subsidies/ Grants for   ++   -     -  Successful  pilot  project   priced oil.
               CNG/LNG infrastructure                              of CNG bus assemblage   -  Recent downfall
               State financing and participation in                and   exploitation   in   and      high
               CNG/LNG infrastructure investment   +    +          HoChi Minh City.          volatility   of
               projects (including public transport                                          global oil prices,
               conversion projects)                             -  Closeness  to  natural  gas   forecasted in the
               Soft-term loans/accelerated land                    sources..                 coming  several
               allocation, connection of                        -  Presence of master plans   years.
               communications, certification,     O     +          and  official  document   -  Lack    of
               registration etc.                                   proposing   alternative   government
               State financing and participation in                fuel vehicles’ support.   measures   in
               NGV and conversion kits production   +   +                                    support    for
               and service infrastructure investment                                         ecologically
               projects                                                                      friendly fuels.
               Development of NGV regulations and   O   -
               standards                                                                  -  Low
               Tax benefits/ Subsidies/ Grants for                                           development  of
               NGV producers, conversion and     ++     -                                    CNG       fuel
                                                                                                       and
               service centers                                                               stations   service
                                                                                             NGV
               Other measures                     -     -
             Note: + - Concern; ++ - High concern; O-No concern.                             infrastructure.
                                                                                          -  Low level of gas
                    Vietnam  NGV  market  is  characterized  by                              pipeline
             low diversification by vehicle type and low demand                              distribution
                                                                                             network
             for CNG.
                    The  list  of  supporting  policies  for  NGV                         -  Low level of gas
             market in Vietnam is limited. There is no policy in                             distribution
                                                                                             system
             support  of  the  development  of  natural  gas-fueled                          liberalization.
             private light and heavy vehicles. All initiatives focus
             on the bus segment only. Some initiatives stipulate    4. Policy Suggest
             preference for ecologically friendly public transport   The  analysis  of  leading  national  NGV
             in  general,  not  specifying  natural  gas-fueled   markets and customer survey as well as reviewing
             vehicles.



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