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TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP: TRANSPORTATION

hybrids, and about 54%–55% for plug-in LCVs. improvements and hybridization, at this rate
Evidently, additional range economy can be would make possible a 50% improvement in
realized through improvements that include the average fuel economy of all cars on the
aerodynamic streamlining, improvements road worldwide by 2050, likely to be cost
in tyre rolling resistance, improved lighting, effective even at relatively low oil prices. Figure
improved air-conditioning systems, and 4.7 shows the global emission trends from
optimization of the vehicle’s body using road transport sector.
composite materials. Improvements in
trucks, buses, are expected to improve fuel 4.9 EMISSION TRENDS IN INDIAN ROAD
efficiency in the long run too. The International TRANSPORT SECTOR
Energy Agency (IEA) has estimated that fuel India has gone way ahead in implementing
consumption and emissions of CO from emission norms over the last two decades
2
the world’s cars will roughly double between and has been able to close the gap between
2000 and 2050. CO emissions from fossil India and Europe from 15 years to ~5 years.
2
fuel combustion will increase 45% from 2006 In last one decade, India has moved from
to 2030, with 97% of this increase occurring BS- I regulations to BS-IV regulations. Further
in non-OECD countries. One-fifth of this reduction in emission levels in commercial
increase is the result of global transport- vehicle industry will depend upon the
related GHG emissions –98% of which will availability of cleaner diesels with low sulphur.
occur in developing countries. In order to European Union still has a lead of approx. 5
support global reductions in CO emissions years in implementation of emission norms
2
from the transport sector, technical innovation compared to India therefore similar practices
will have to go hand-in-hand with supporting need to be adopted in India as well. Since
policies – and there is a clear opportunity emission levels are shrinking therefore
to reduce CO emissions by 30% by 2020 engineering solutions to attain such low levels
2
and 50% by 2035. Improving the efficiency are becoming more complex and are closely
of new cars, from incremental technology linked with engine and vehicle parameters.

FIG 4.7 GLOBAL ROAD TRANSPORT FUTURE EMISSION TRENDS [5]

(Mt - CO )
2 2030: 8.9GT
10,000 (1.4 TIMES)

9,000
INTERNATIONAL
8,000 AVIATION AND
2006 = 6,401 MARINE BUNKERS
7,000
OTHER
DEVELOPING
6,000 COUNTRIES DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES:
5,000 OTHER ASIA INDIA EMISSIONS DOUBLE

4,000 CHINA IN 25 YEARS

3,000 OTHER
DEVELOPED
2,000 COUNTRIES DEVELOPED
COUNTRIES:
1,000 UNITED EMISSIONS CONSTANT
STATES IN 25 YEARS
0
1980 1990 2000 2006 2020 2030

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