Page 7 - ATD05March2016
P. 7

U.S. NEWS A7
                                                                                                                                                                           Saturday 5 March 2016

US Financial Front:

      Strong job growth in February helps dispel recession fears 

A restaurant posts a sign indicating they are hiring, in Miami. Voters and economists hold sharply                                  the Fed to raise rates from     the world’s second-largest
divergent views on U.S. economic growth. According to a majority of economists surveyed by The                                      record lows in December         economy, is struggling with
Associated Press, the United States is resilient enough to defy the global economic slowdown and                                    before it paused at its Jan-    high corporate debts and
the sinking stock markets that have fanned fears of a new U.S. recession.                                                           uary meeting in the face of     slower growth. Oil prices
                                                                                                                                    global pressures, falling oil   have tumbled amid rela-
                                                                                                              (AP Photo/Alan Diaz)  prices and subpar inflation.    tively low demand. The
                                                                                                                                    “It’s probably a better than    strong dollar has eaten
JOSH BOAK                     ing its challenges without    either working or looking for                                           a 50 percent proposition        away at exports.
AP Economics Writer           suffering much damage.        work — to a 13-month high                                               that they will raise the rates  With unemployment re-
WASHINGTON (AP) — A ro-       “Neither global headwinds,    of 62.9 percent.                                                        in June,” said Kevin Logan,     maining low, economists
bust February jobs report     financial turbulence nor      Friday’s jobs report will fac-                                          chief U.S. economist at the     say more companies
showcased a resilient U.S.    political uncertainty has     tor into an increasingly                                                bank HSBC.                      should begin to raise pay
economy just as fears of a    dimmed American busi-         tense presidential race.                                                Stock investors appeared        to attract workers, thereby
new recession had begun       ness’ enthusiasm for hir-     Hillary Clinton, the Demo-                                              to cheer last month’s job       fueling more hiring and in-
to surface.                   ing,” said Sal Guatieri, an   cratic front-runner, has cast                                           growth. The Standard &          creasing people’s ability to
Economic reports in recent    economist at BMO Capital      herself as the logical suc-                                             Poor’s 500 index climbed 1      spend, invest and save.
weeks had fueled anxiet-      Markets. “The solid jobs re-  cessor to President Barack                                              percent in late afternoon       For years, tepid pay growth
ies about a looming down-     port should allay recession   Obama and his steward-                                                  trading.                        was one of the key weak-
turn: Manufacturers were      fears.”                       ship of the economy. The                                                Retailers added 54,900 jobs     nesses of the economic
slumping. Stocks had plum-    Retailers, restaurants, con-  Republican hopefuls have                                                last month. Restaurants         recovery. Many of the jobs
meted.  China  was slowing    struction firms and health    spotlighted what they call                                              and bars added 40,200,          created in the wake of the
sharply along with other      care providers — the core     the economy’s failures,                                                 the health care sector          Great Recession were in
emerging markets. The ris-    of consumer demand and        blaming tax rates and                                                   38,100 and construction         lower-paid occupations —
ing dollar had crushed ex-    vital fuel for economic       Obama’s signature health                                                companies 19,000.               from cashiers, waiters and
ports.                        growth — drove much of        care program for stagnant                                               Hiring by employers that        store clerks to home health
But last month, U.S. employ-  the hiring.                   incomes and the loss of                                                 are directly linked to con-     aides and temporary work-
ers sent a clear message of   Worker pay did slip last      blue-collar jobs.                                                       sumers has more than off-       ers.
confidence. They added a      month after having picked     February’s job growth                                                   set layoffs at manufacturers    But in recent months, wage
healthy 242,000 jobs, while   up in January. But more       could also give the Fed-                                                and fossil fuel companies       gains started to tick up. The
the unemployment rate         Americans began search-       eral Reserve a path to                                                  — two sectors squeezed by       increases bolstered hopes
held at a low 4.9 percent,    ing for jobs and found        raise interest rates again as                                           the pressures of uncertain-     that a lower unemploy-
the government said Fri-      them. That lifted the job     early as June, according                                                ty in  China, sluggishness in   ment rate had prompted
day. The gains showed that    market’s participation rate   to many economists. Prior                                               Europe, declining oil prices    companies to raise pay.
the economy is surmount-      — the proportion of adults    solid job growth had led                                                and a stronger dollar.          Yet between January and
                                                                                                                                    Job losses in mining —          February, earnings fell
                                                                                                                                    which includes the bat-         slightly in a clear setback.
                                                                                                                                    tered energy industry —         Economists were search-
                                                                                                                                    have totaled 140,400 in the     ing for explanations for the
                                                                                                                                    past 12 months. And man-        sudden reversal given the
                                                                                                                                    ufacturing has added just       otherwise strong jobs re-
                                                                                                                                    12,000 jobs over that time.     port.
                                                                                                                                    Consumers have provided         Ian Shepherdson, chief
                                                                                                                                    the foundation for much of      economist at Pantheon
                                                                                                                                    the job market’s improve-       Macroeconomics, noted
                                                                                                                                    ment in what’s become           that wages might have
                                                                                                                                    something of a self-sustain-    slipped last month be-
                                                                                                                                    ing cycle. The nearly 2.7       cause of the timing of the
                                                                                                                                    million workers who have        survey for the jobs report.
                                                                                                                                    been added over the past        It occurred before Feb. 15,
                                                                                                                                    12 months have bolstered        possibly missing a payday
                                                                                                                                    spending on autos, housing      for workers who are paid
                                                                                                                                    and meals out.                  semimonthly.
                                                                                                                                    That spending has sus-          Wage growth is often weak
                                                                                                                                    tained U.S. economic            when the jobs report survey
                                                                                                                                    growth, even as other in-       week doesn’t include the
                                                                                                                                    dicators have signaled a        15th of the month, Shep-
                                                                                                                                    possible drop-off.  China,      herdson noted.
   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12