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A FRAMEWORK FOR                                                                                                                                             Background                                                                                                                                                    Lessons from the Largest African Sugar Producing





                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Countries


              EXPANDING AND                                                                                                                                               African agriculture can be expected to expand                           agreements are likely to keep intra-continental                                       The study focused on the structure and status quo                       research, disseminate useful findings, and share
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  trade relatively low over the next decade.  Yet
                                                                                                                                                                          over the next few decades, in line with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  opportunities exist to expand sugar industries to
                                                                                                                                                                          population growth.  The production of staple
                                                                                                                                                                          foods, including sugar, is expected to rise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        countries, namely, Egypt, South Africa, Eswatini,
                                                                                                                                                                          substantially to meet the needs of more than a                          serve local and regional markets.                                                     of sugar industry production in six African                             improved crop varieties with their sugar growers.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                There are examples of collaborations between
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  This report reviews the status quo African context
              HARMONISING SUGAR                                                                                                                                           quarter of the world’s population that is                               and  recommends  eight  policies for  investors                                       sugar producers in 2020 and together make up                            local and international research institutes.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Kenya and Morocco.  These were Africa’s largest
                                                                                                                                                                          expected to live on the continent by 2050. Africa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  looking to expand sugar production in Africa. The
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Every country’s highest regulatory body is their
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        roughly 64% of African sugar production out of an
                                                                                                                                                                          currently  produces  6.5%  of  the  world’s  sugar,
                                                                                                                                                                          with most of this being supplied by six countries                       policy recommendations are based on what has                                          estimated total of 11.47 million tonnes.                                Ministry of Agriculture, whereas other regulatory
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  worked in the past, to create established sugar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                bodies differ greatly. Price-setting intermediaries
              INDUSTRIES WITHIN AFRICA                                                                                                                                    barriers and slow progress with free trade                              industries, whilst considering the current regional                                   Kenya, Morocco and Uganda all have well                                 (independent, except for the state in Egypt) exist
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        The sugar sectors in Egypt, South Africa, Eswatini,
                                                                                                                                                                          with established sugar industries. Natural trade
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  business environments.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                between the millers and growers. Price-setting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        established structures. Both the state dominated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                intermediaries are essential to streamline the
                                                                                                                                                                          Methodology
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        industries (examples in Eswatini and Egypt) and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        privately run industries (examples in Uganda and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                consistent flow of sugar crops to the mills during
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        South Africa) are supported by bargaining                               supply chain, create price stability, and allow a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        structures (between millers and growers) and                            harvest seasons. All regions have large local

                                                                                                                                                                          The study starts with an overview of how African                        supporting organisations and agricultural ministries,                                 research aimed at improving the operations and                          markets for sugar and sugar products, except for
                                                                                                                                                                          countries fit into global sugar production and trade,                    policies, trade, and tariffs. Key industry experts were                                outputs of growers, millers, and other value-                           Eswatini, which exports to the geographically

                                                                                                                                                                          to  assess  the relative  scale  of production,  local                  interviewed to direct the research focus and identify                                 adding activities. All six countries conduct local                      adjacent, South African market.
                                                                                                                                                                          markets, and growth trends. Data and reports on the                     relevant data.  The study ends with policy

                                                                                                                                                                          other six countries with large production were                          recommendations for sugar industrialisation in
                                                                                                                                                                          reviewed to examine sugar industry structures,                          existing smaller African markets.                                                     Policy Recommendations





             AUTHORS:                                                                                                                                                     Findings                                                                                                                                                      The future growth of African sugar industries will                             oversees a predictable Recoverable Value
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    payments system. The payment system must
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        certainly rely on the expansion and opening of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    incentivise quality and efficiency and allow for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        current small-scale markets. Taking lessons from the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        more mature markets in Egypt, South Africa,                                 monthly price changes over the harvest season.
                                                                                                                                                                          Overview of Global Sugar Trends                                          Figure 1. Global sugar production average 2019-2021 (annual kt) [14]                 Eswatini and Kenya, the following eight policies are                    4.  All small-scale growers must be guaranteed

            Luke Muller and                                                                                                                                               While sugar consumption has remained flat                                                   65667                           Asia                               recommended:                                                                higher domestic prices to support their future

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    viability.
                                                                                                                                                                          worldwide, African consumption is expected to                                                                              Latin America                      1.  Tariffs on imported sugar (Commodity code                            5.  Contracting outgrower suppliers, as a growth
            Mbongeni Ndlovu                                                                                                                                               continue growing as the population expands.                                                                                Europe                                  1701) should be in the range of 16% to 20% to                          strategy, that can externalise grower risks whilst
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             create a higher domestic price, give some
                                                                                                                                                                          The United Nations’ medium projection for pop-                                                               56905         Africa                                  protection to existing small-scale growers, and                        building collaboration with, and providing
                                                                                                                                                                          ulation growth (2019) estimates that over a                                 4207                                                                                   protect against global price fluctuations. Higher                       support for, existing farmers.

                                                                                                                                                                          quarter  of the  global population will  live in                            7609                                           North America                           tariffs will likely suppress demand and                             6.  Partner with global sugar and tropical

                                                                                                                                                                          Africa by the year 2050.                                                                                                   Oceania                                 value-added activities in the domestic market                          agricultural research institutes and assist with
            Thank  you  to Patricia Njeru  and  Noncedo  Mviko  for                                                                                                                                                                                     11104                                                                                that require sugar inputs. 16% to 20% sugar                            the growth of local expertise and improved crop



            their assistance in directing the research.                                                                                                                                                                                                             24488                                                                    tariffs have been shown to allow for the growth                          varieties, with the long-term goal of creating a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    local sugar research institute.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             of internationally competitive value-added
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             markets in the South Africa and Egypt.                             7.  Ensure proactive self-regulation and private
                                                                                                                                                                          Overview of African Sugar Producing Countries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2.  Focus on strengthening trade and widening                               sector regulation to create sustainable and
                                                                                                                                                                          There are 35 sugar-producing countries in Africa, with Egypt and South Africa producing the largest amount                                                         markets within regional economic communities.                          responsible farming practices that include the

                                                                                                                                                                          of sugar and the top 5 countries produced over 6.8 million tonnes. Some of the African producers have formed                                                       Gradually lower tariff barriers, non-tariff barriers,                    use of existing domestic and local resources and
                                                                                                                                                                          regional economic communities (RECs) to facilitate regional economic integration between members,                                                                  and natural trade barriers with neighbouring                           develops the agricultural settlement rural zone.

                                                                                                                                                                          including trade. However, most of the sugar markets in Africa are small and serve regional demand.                                                                 countries and RECs. Only once REC trade and                        8.  Create a committee with equal representation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             representation has been strengthened can                               from large-scale growers, small-scale growers,

                                                                  PUBLISHED:                                                                                                                  Figure 2. African countries producing more than 0.1 million tonnes                                                                             larger AfCFTA policies between RECs be                                  millers, government, and related private sector
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             harmonised.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    firms. The committee performs the functions of
                                                                                                                                                                                                               of raw sugar equivalent in 2020 (FAO, 2023).
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3.  Create an independent price-setting                                     developing policies, maintaining regulations,

                                                                           2023                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              intermediary, between growers and millers, that                        and developing trade policies.


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Conclusion

                              World Journal of Agricultural Science and


                               Technology. Vol. 1, No. 3, 2023, pp. 45-53.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Steady population growth, and urbanisation will  within AfCFTA. A representative local committee (of


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        continue to grow the African sugar consumer base  large-scale growers, small-scale growers, and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        for the foreseeable future. Natural trade barriers and  millers, government, and related private sector

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        slow progress with free trade agreements are likely to  firms) is required to set appropriate local regulations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        keep intra-continental trade relatively low over the  and  trade regulations.  In addition, the top four
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        next decade. Yet opportunities exist to expand sugar  African producers all have established and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        industries to serve local and regional markets. Any  specialised sugar research institutes, something
                                                                                                                                                                                       1 million tonnes *
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        expansion of sugar industries in Africa must take  that could be replicated in other African countries.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        proactive steps to ensure sustainable and  Overall, Africa’s sugar industries are widespread,
                                                                                                                                                                                       0.5 million - 1 million tonnes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        responsible farming practices are adhered to that  growing faster than other global regions and has
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        lead to the upliftment of local communities.                           significant further growth potential if managed with

                                                                                                                                                                                       0.3 million - 0.5 million tonnes                                                                                                                                                                                        appropriate policies and an opening of regional
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Countries  should  aim  to  strengthen  trade  within
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        RECs before attempting to harmonise trade policies                     markets.

                                                                                                                                                                                       0.1 million - 0.3 million tonnes

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            References




                                                                                                                                                                          Trade Tariffs have long been used to prop up homegrown industries by raising import prices and inducing
                                                                                                                                                                          citizens to buy goods produced domestically. The negative effects of tariffs are that higher prices for                                                             FAO (2023) FAOSTAT – Food and Agriculture Data. Available at:  OECD/FAO (2022), OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook
                                                                                                                                                                          consumers can also significantly dampen domestic demand and harm industries that require sugar inputs                                                              https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/                                    2022-2031, OECD Publishing, Paris,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               https://doi.org/10.1787/f1b0b29c-en.
                                                                                                                                                                          or cause these industries to countries with lower domestic sugar prices. A strategic framework to facilitate                                                      Martiniello, G., Owor, A., Bahati, I., & Branch, A. (2022). The
                                                                                                                                                                          economic integration between all African countries is currently being developed. Once completed, the                                                              fragmented politics of sugarcane contract farming in Uganda.  SASRI, (2022) South African Sugarcane Research Institute.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Journal of Agrarian Change, 22(1), 77-96.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Available at: https://sasri.org.za/
                                                                                                                                                                          African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) will include 55 country members.
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