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GREEN MANUFACTURING                                                                                                                                         What is green Hydrogen?                                                                                                                                        Green hydrogen in the transport sector









              IN SOUTH AFRICA:                                                                                                                                            Hydrogen has been described as ‘the fuel of the  Several countries have touted green hydrogen as a                                                           The potential for surplus renewable energy generation to produce hydrogen in South Africa is illustrated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       in Figure 2. For renewable energy to meet South African electricity demand there will be inevitable
                                                                                                                                                                          future’, always promising results that somehow  vital component of their decarbonization strategies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       surpluses during off peak hours as well as when wind and solar electricity generation operate at the same
                                                                                                                                                                          seem just out of reach. Now it looks like the future is  and post-fossil-fuels-based economies.  This is
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       time. This surplus electricity generation would otherwise be curtailed. The figure shows a significant
                                                                                                                                                                          on the horizon.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 because, the byproducts of hydrogen through
                                                                                                                                                                          South Africa is not only well positioned to adopt the                  combustion or electrochemical reaction are, simply,                                   opportunity for renewable energy based green hydrogen production that would otherwise be wasted.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 heat and water. Green hydrogen, then, is hydrogen
              HOW GREEN HYDROGEN IS                                                                                                                                       provide much needed employment opportunities,                          that has been produced using renewable energies                                                     50 GW                                                               Solar PV
                                                                                                                                                                          manufacture of green hydrogen, but this could
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Source: Enertrag (2021); based on Eskom and CSIR data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 through a process of electrolysis (see Figure 1).
                                                                                                                                                                          energy generation, balance of payment inflows and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Wind
                                                                                                                                                                          a host of other economic benefits.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Figure  1: Types of hydrogen according to                                                       40                                                                  Residual Load  — Electricity Load
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     30
                                                                                                                                                                          Hydrogen is the most abundant element in the                                              production methods                                                               20                                                                                      South African        80GW
              CHANGING THE ENERGY                                                                                                                                         becoming increasingly attractive as an alternative                         Not Environmentally Friendly       Environmentally Friendly                                     -10                                                                                     demand              100 GW
                                                                                                                                                                          universe with a high energy density, and is
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             domestic electricity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                                                                          to  fossil fuels.  Hydrogen  is  a  compelling form  of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Grey H
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Brown H
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Blue H
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         GreenH
                                                                                                                                                                          energy for transportation and storage that could
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (High load factor
                                                                                                                                                                          unlock greater potential for other forms of                                        2               2                2                 2                                    -20                                                                                     H  production      Ely: 45 GW
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             for electrolyser)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     -30
              LANDSCAPE                                                                                                                                                   hydrogen provides a crucial solution to the                                 Fossil fuels     Source          Fossil fuels   Renewable energy                               -40                                                                                     Direct-Electricity
                                                                                                                                                                          renewable electricity generation. For example,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     -50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Source
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Source
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Source
                                                                                                                                                                          challenges of intermittent supply and demand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Heat Production
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     -60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Coal
                                                                                                                                                                          peaks associated with wind, solar and hydro
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Process
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Process
                                                                                                                                                                          electricity  generation.  To  this  effect, hydrogen                       Steam-Methane     Process       Grey H  or Brown H     Process                                   -70                                                                                     Curtailment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     -80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2
                                                                                                                                                                          offers a viable means of storing energy which can                            Reforming    Coal gasification  + Carbon Capture Storage   Electrolysis                         -90
                                                                                                                                                                          then be converted to electricity.                                                                              (CCSS)                                                     -100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Source: Prepared by TWIMS                                                           Mon       Tue       Wed        Thu        Fri       Sat       Sun
                                                                                                                                                                          Why Now?                                                                                                                                                      Green hydrogen has been targeted as a viable energy source for the transport sector, especially in sectors
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        where CO  abatement is difficult (Metcalfe, Burger, & Mackay, 2020). For heavy-duty and long-range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        transport applications hydrogen powered vehicles are expected to become more cost effective than
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        battery electric vehicles in the short term (Hydrogen Council, 2020). Table 2 shows the expected timeframe
             AUTHOR:                                                                                                                                                     Patel (2020) notes that the recent interest in hydrogen  significant opportunity for countries with high levels                                                 for various road-based hydrogen powered vehicles to reach total cost of ownership parity with internal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        combustion engine and battery electric alternatives. It is important to note that the total cost of ownership
                                                                                                                                                                         has been driven by a strong global emphasis on  of renewable energy potential such as South Africa
                                                                                                                                                                         emissions reduction and hydrogen’s ability to meet  to become major exporters of green hydrogen.                                                               refers to both purchasing and lifecycle running costs. Longer time frames (indicated by shades of red)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        suggest less suitability for hydrogen power as battery electric alternatives will become more established.
                                                                                                                                                                         key government policy objectives such as:                               Forbes has described this green Hydrogen revolution                                    Table 2 shows that HCVs (heavy commercial vehicles) and XHCVs (extra-heavy commercial vehicles) show

            Guy Bowden and                                                                                                                                               § energy security                                                       as the future, stating that “seven of the biggest green                                the most potential for reaching cost competitiveness with ICEVs (internal combustion engine vehicles) and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        BEVs (battery electric vehicles). Furthermore, the table also shows good cost effectiveness potential for
                                                                                                                                                                         § reduced local air pollution
                                                                                                                                                                         § economic development                                                  hydrogen project developers (have) come together                                       most vehicle types except for small short-range PVs (passenger vehicles) and short-range busses.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 to launch the Green Hydrogen Catapult Initiative in a
            Liesel Kassier                                                                                                                                               § increased energy access                                               bid to increase the production of green hydrogen

                                                                                                                                                                         § increased synergies between renewable electricity                     50-fold in the next six years” (Scott, 2020).                                                                        TABLE 2: TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP OF HYDROGEN POWERED
                                                                                                                                                                              generation and hydrogen as a means of energy                                                                                                                                                            VEHICLES VERSUS ICEVS AND BEVS
                                                                                                                                                                              storage                                                            Due to this new initiative, the cost of green                                                         Type of Vehicle             Usage          Range          Year of parity with ICE        Year of parity with BEV
                                                                                                                                                                         § investment momentum stemming  from  other                             hydrogen could be cut to less than $2/kg. This cost                                                      Small PV              Short Range       200km                 2035                            2050

                                                                                                                                                                              sustainable technology success.                                    would sway manufacturing intensive countries to                                                     Large PV (i.e. SUV)         Long Range       600km                 2030                            2030
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 convert to green hydrogen as their primary energy
                                                                                                                                                                         Demand for green hydrogen is accelerating in the                        source, thereby cutting emissions from the world’s                                                         LCV                  Long Range       650km                 2030                            2030
                                                                                                                                                                         European Union, Japan and South Korea, all of                           most carbon-intensive  industries, including                                                               MCV                  ShortRange       300km                 2025                            2030
                                                                                                                                                                         whom are positioning themselves as large importers                      steelmaking, shipping, chemicals production and                                                            HCV                  Long Range       500km                 2025                            2020

                                                                                                                                                                         of green hydrogen (Patel, 2020).  This creates a                        power generation.                                                                                         XHCV                  Long Range       600km                 2025                            2020

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Buss                Short Range       150km                 2025                            2040

                                                                                                                                                                          South Africa as a hub for renewable energy                                                                                                                                       Coach                 Long Range       450km                 2025                            2025
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Buss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2025
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Long Range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  500km
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2025
                                                                                                                                                                          and green Hydrogen production                                                                                                                                                                 * Shades of green indicate greater competitiveness and shades of red indicate least competitiveness.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Source: Prepared by TWIMS using data from Hydrogen Council (2020, pp. 33-41)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Green hydrogen, a game changer for South




                                                                                                                                                                         South Africa has been identified as a major potential  developed (Patel, 2020). Furthermore, Petro SA’s

                                                                                                                                                                         hub for green Hydrogen production. The country  large gas-to-liquids refinery near Mossel Bay is                                                                Africa’s energy landscape?
                                                                                                                                                                         has abundant wind and solar potential – among the  running out of natural gas and is well positioned to
                                                                                                                                                                         highest in the world (Hydrogen Council, 2020; Roos  be repurposed to produce Hydrogen. The facility’s
                                                                                                                                                                         & Wright, 2021). The country also possesses 80% of  close proximity to the Coega SEZ and deep-water
                                                                                                                                                                         the world’s Platinum Group Metals (PGMs) – critical  Port of Ngqhurha makes it an attractive potential                                                         Hydrogen provides a game changing opportunity for  From an industrial policy perspective, a key
                                                                                                                                                                         resources used in the production of hydrogen  hub for the production, storage and export of                                                                    the South African energy landscape. Its use in various  question  for  South  Africa  is  how  much  of  the
                                                                                                                                                                         through electrolysis and electricity generation from  Hydrogen gas (Roos & Wright, 2021).                                                                      applications, to replace fossil fuels, is quickly becoming  potential value from its hydrogen bounty could be

                                                                                                                                                                         hydrogen using fuel cells (Minerals Council South                                                                                                              a reality. Not only does the country possess many of  captured locally? Will South Africa simply export
                                                                                                                                                                         Africa, 2019). Additionally, South Africa already                       Economic opportunities for green hydrogen                                              the resources to become a world leader in green  hydrogen  as a future  commodity,  and  maximize
                                                                                                                                                                         possesses significant knowledge, intellectual                            According to Air Products South Africa, the price of                                   hydrogen production, but it already has a first mover  financial returns from the process? Or will it
                                                                                                                                                                         property and expertise in hydrogen and fuel cell                        grey hydrogen in South Africa is approximately R300
                                                                                                                                                                         technology production. SASOL and Petro SA have                          per kg in February 2021.  This is far from the                                         advantage. Hydrogen provides clear opportunities for  attempt to  deepen value  addition  and  develop
                                                                                                                                                                         existing expertise and infrastructure that could be                     Japanese target price for imported blue/green                                          South Africa to become a major  global energy  downstream hydrogen-based industrial activity,
                                                                                                                                                                         used in its production, storage and transport. SASOL                    hydrogen set at R52.20 per kg. However, this has                                       exporter as well as build a new environmentally  such as the manufacture of hydrogen fuel cell
                                                                                                                                                                         is experienced in producing brown hydrogen from                         been labelled as achievable for South African                                          friendly and secure energy future for itself.                          vehicles and industrial equipment?
                                                                                                                                                                         coal. While brown hydrogen is not environmentally                       hydrogen producers (Creamer, 2020). Furthermore,

                                                                                                                                                                         friendly, this can be combined with carbon capture                      a  joint  European  Union  and  South  African
                                                                                                                                                                         storage to reduce carbon emissions by around 90%                        investigation into power fuels and green hydrogen                                          References
                                                                                                                                                                         (Hydrogen Council, 2020). This would allow South                        found that a long-term price of R26.50 per kg for
                                                                                                                                                                         Africa to capture a first mover advantage while                          exported South African green hydrogen is possible
                                                                                                                                                                         infrastructure for green hydrogen production is                         (Roos & Wright, 2021).                                                                    Air Products South Africa (Pty) Ltd (2021). [Industrial price of South African   Hydrogen Council. (2020). Path to hydrogen competitiveness: A cost perspective.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Hydrogen].                                                          Metcalfe, J., Burger, L., & Mackay, J. (2020). Unlocking South Africa's hydrogen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Creamer, M. (2020). South Africa’s potential to export green hydrogen boosted   potential. Retrieved from Minerals Council South Africa. (2019). National Platinum
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TABLE 1: SA HYDROGEN PRICES                                                                                          Engineering news. Retrieved from                                    Strategy.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           https://www.engineeringnews.co.za/article/south-africas-potential-to-export-green  Patel, M. (2020). Green Hydrogen: A potential export commodity in a new global
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Hydrogen Prices                                                              Price (ZAR per kg)                            -hydrogen-boosted-2020-05-26                                        marketplace. Retrieved from

                                                                                                                                                                            Current price for industrial hydrogen in South Africa                                                                          300.00                          Creamer, T. (2017). New study points to 90% renewables mix being least cost by 2050.   Roos, T., & Wright, J. (2021). Powerfuels and Green Hydrogen. Retrieved from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Engineering news. Retrieved from
                                                                                                                                                                            Japanese target import price for green hydrogen                                                                                 52.20                          https://www.engineeringnews.co.za/article/new-study-points-to-90-renewables-mi  Scott, M. (2020). Green Hydrogen, The Fuel Of The Future, Set For 50-Fold Expansion.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Forbes. Retrieved from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           x-being-least-cost-by-2050-2017-09-15
                                                                                                                                                                            Long term price of South African green hydrogen                                                                                 26.50                          Enertrag (Producer). (2021). Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa.   https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikescott/2020/12/14/green-hydrogen-the-fuel-of-th
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               e-future-set-for-50-fold-expansion/?sh=30ba1f6d6df3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           [Presentation]
                                                                                                                                                                                  Source: Prepared by TWIMS using data from Air Products South Africa (Pty) Ltd (2021); M. Creamer (2020); Roos and Wright (2021)
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