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A10   WORLD NEWS
                Tuesday 27 November 2018

            Analysis: Strong opposition showing challenges Taiwan's Tsai



            By CHRISTOPHER BODEEN                                                                                               ties than in the past, while
            Associated Press                                                                                                    disparities  in  income  are
            BEIJING  (AP)  —  A  strong                                                                                         growing.
            showing  by  Taiwan's  op-                                                                                          China's  best  option  would
            position  Nationalist  Party                                                                                        be  to  stay  low-key,  since
            in  local  elections  over  the                                                                                     increased  hostility  could
            weekend  presents  a  ma-                                                                                           build resentment and shore
            jor  challenge  to  indepen-                                                                                        up  support  for  Tsai  ahead
            dence-leaning     President                                                                                         of  the  2020  election,  Liu
            Tsai  Ing-wen  as  she  grap-                                                                                       said.
            ples with growing econom-                                                                                           "To  play  the  friendly  card
            ic,  political  and  military                                                                                       is  the  best  way  to  win  the
            pressure from rival China.                                                                                          people's  heart.  If  China
            While Saturday's polls were                                                                                         continues  to  suppress  Tai-
            largely  decided  by  local                                                                                         pei, it will produce a coun-
            concerns,  Beijing  cast  a                                                                                         ter-effect," he said.
            heavy  shadow  after  two                                                                                           Elsewhere  over  the  week-
            years of unrelenting efforts                                                                                        end, voters in China's semi-
            to  restrict  Taiwan's  partici-                                                                                    autonomous     region   of
            pation in international soci-                                                                                       Hong Kong elected a pro-
            ety and advertise its threat                                                                                        establishment  politician  to
            to use force to bring the is-                                                                                       the legislature in a by-elec-
            land under its control.                                                                                             tion called after the incum-
            Tsai's  Democratic  Progres-                                                                                        bent was ejected from the
            sive  Party  lost  power  in   In this Nov. 24, 2018, file photo, Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen, center, speaks to journalists   body  for  "improper  oath
            its  southern  stronghold  of   after a vote in local elections in New Taipei City, Taiwan.                         taking,"  one  of  six  pro-de-
            Kaohsiung,  while  the  Na-                                                                        Associated Press  mocracy legislators ousted
            tionalists  notched  up  15   soundly  defeating  his  DPP  swiftly, saying the elections  ited markets at home.    on that charge.
            wins  in  the  22  major  races   rival, and seemed to galva-  —  along  with  referendums  Tsai  resigned  as  DPP  head   Chan Hoi-yan's sizable vic-
            being contested.             nize opposition to the status  on  topics  such  as  same-  on Saturday once the elec-  tory  in  the  Kowloon  West
            Independent  Ko  Wen-je      quo  under  Tsai.  While  his  sex marriage and Taiwan's  tion  results  came  in  and   constituency  ends  the  op-
            appeared to have won re-     candidacy  received  little  name  used  at  the  Olym-   now  faces  a  considerably   position's  hopes  of  regain-
            election in Taipei, the capi-  initial support from the par-  pics — were an "internal af-  more  hostile  landscape  as   ing  veto  power  in  the  as-
            tal, although his Nationalist   ty establishment, Han rode  fair whose results testified to  she  contemplates  running   sembly  and  continues  to
            rival  Ting  Shou-chung  has   a  wave  of  grass-roots  sup-  the  mature  development  for re-election in 2020. Bei-  reduce the influence of the
            filed for a recount. The DPP   port and went on to stump  of Taiwan's democracy."      jing  has  shown  no  sign  of   pro-democracy camp that
            won just six major races.    for other Nationalist candi-  "This lies at the core of Tai-  easing the pressure on her   has  been  shrinking  since
            Analysts  and  local  media   dates,  adding  momentum  wan's  democratic  values,  administration  and  is  ex-    widespread  2014  demon-
            cited  dissatisfaction  with   to the Nationalists' sweep.  which  Beijing  should  re-  pected  to  begin  wooing   strations fizzled out with little
            Tsai  and  the  DPP  rather   Although China claims Tai-  spect and correctly under-   the  more  China-friendly    result.
            than  approval  for  the  Na-  wan  as  its  own  territory,  it  stand," the Mainland Affairs  election  victors  such  as   China  took  control  of  the
            tionalists, also known as the   had largely withheld overt-  Council said on its website.  Han  and  the  Nationalists'   former British colony in 1997
            KMT, as a prime reason for   ly  intervening  in  the  elec-  "The only correct way to ad-  Taichung  mayor-elect,  Lu   under a system whereby it
            the outcome.                 tions  despite  accusations  vance  prosperity  between  Shiow-yen.                    was  to  retain  its  own  eco-
            "Rather  than  thinking  that   of  spreading  disinforma-  the people of the two sides  Tsai's efforts at reforming the   nomic,  legal  and  political
            Saturday's  results  were  be-  tion.  China  has  sought  to  and  eliminate  differences  government and economy   systems  for  50  years  under
            cause the KMT did a good     isolate Tsai over her refusal  is  through  communication  have  also  encountered     Beijing's overall guidance.
            job in opposition, it is more   to  endorse  its  "one  China"  and  exchanges  without  headwinds, particularly her   The  disqualification  of  pro-
            accurate to say they were    principle  that  designates  political preconditions," the  push  to  reduce  generous   democracy    candidates
            due  to  voters'  overwhelm-  Taiwan as a part of China.  council said.                civil service pensions.      and demands for loyalty to
            ingly  negative  perception   However,  a  spokesman  The true impact of China's  "The  election  results  are  a   China's  ruling  Communist
            of the DPP," Eric Yu of Na-  on  Sunday  was  quick  to  pressure campaign was dif-    major warning to Tsai's gov-  Party are undermining con-
            tional Chengchi University's   cite  the  election  results  as  ficult to gauge. Taiwanese  erning  team,"  said  Frank   fidence  in  the  "one  coun-
            Election  Study  Center  was   evidence  that  Taiwanese  voters are notoriously capri-  Cheng-shan  Liu,  a  profes-  try, two systems" framework
            quoted as saying in the Tai-  were  becoming  fed  up  cious, often changing sides  sor at National Sun Yat Sen     that has also been offered
            pei Times on Monday.         with Tsai's approach.        based  on  their  feelings  to-  University   in   Kaohsiung,   to Taiwan, said Ivan Choy,
            Another  factor  cited  was   The outcome "reflected the  ward  a  particular  candi-  who  predicted  increased    a professor of government
            the  Nationalists'  Han  Kuo-  strong  will  of  the  public  in  date, rather than over prin-  friction within the DPP and   and  public  administration
            yu, who ended 20 years of    Taiwan to share the benefits  ciple  or  policy.  While  the  greater difficulty in pushing   at the Chinese University of
            DPP  rule  in  Kaohsiung  by                                                                                        Hong Kong.
                                         of  peaceful  development  vast  majority  favor  main-   Tsai's reform agenda.
                                         across  the  Taiwan  Straits,  taining  Taiwan's  de  facto  However, Liu said the results   That has produced a "neg-
                                         and their desire to improve  independent  status  —  as  had far less to do with Tsai's   ative  example"  for  Taiwan
                                         the  island's  economy  and  Tsai  has  done  —  they  are  refusal  to  recognize  the   in  terms  of  faith  in  China's
                                         people's  well-being,"  Ma  also  deeply  concerned  "one  China"  principle  than     promises  and  enthusiasm
                                         Xiaoguang, spokesman for  about  falling  behind  Chi-    with  dissatisfaction  over   for  unification  with  the
                                         the Cabinet's Taiwan Affairs  na  in  the  financial  stakes,  economic  growth.  While   mainland, Choy said.
                                         Office, was quoted as say-   as  working  on  the  main-  expected to grow at a rel-   "The  deteriorating  situa-
                                         ing  by  China's  official  Xin-  land has become an ever-  atively healthy pace of 2.6   tion  of  the  human  right
                                         hua News Agency.             more appealing option for  percent  this  year,  Taiwan's   and freedom in Hong Kong
                                         The    office's   Taiwanese  young  Taiwanese  facing  high-tech economy is gen-       would build up a negative
                                         counterpart    fired   back  wage  stagnation  and  lim-  erating  fewer  opportuni-   demonstration  effect  to
                                                                                                                                Taiwan," he said.q
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