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Appendix I—Program and Portfolio Management Process Models


                Portfolio Quantitative Risk Analysis
                Measuring the probability and consequences of Portfolio risks and esti-
                mating their implications for Portfolio objectives.


                                             Portfolio Quantitative Risk Analysis

                         Inputs          Tools & Techniques        Controls              Outputs
                   .1  Risk Management plan   .1 Interviewing   .1 Management review  .1  Prioritized list of
                   .2 Identified risks   .2 Sensitivity analysis   .2 Portfolio audits  quantified risks
                   .3  List of prioritized risks   .3  Decision tree analysis       .2  Probabilistic analysis of
                   .4  List of additional analysis   .4 Simulation                    the Portfolio
                     and management                                                 .3  Probability of achieving
                   .5 Historical information                                           the cost and time
                   .6 Expert judgment                                                 objectives
                   .7  Other planning outputs                                       .4  Trends in quantitative
                                                                                       risk analysis results











                Portfolio Risk Response Planning
                Developing procedures and techniques to enhance opportunities and reduce
                threats to the Portfolio’s objectives.


                                              Portfolio Risk Response Planning
                         Inputs          Tools & Techniques        Controls              Outputs
                   .1  Risk management plan   .1 Avoidance    .1  Risk Response Plan Review  .1  Risk Response plan
                   .2  List of prioritized risks   .2 Transference                  .2 Residual risks
                   .3  Risk ranking of the Portfolio  .3 Mitigation                 .3 Secondary risks
                   .4  Prioritized list of quantified   .4 Acceptance               .4 Contractual agreements
                     risks                                                          .5 Contingency reserve
                   .5  Probabilistic analysis of the                                  amounts needed
                     Portfolio                                                      .6  Inputs to other processes
                   .6  Probability of achieving the                                 .7  Inputs to a revised
                      cost and time objectives                                        Portfolio plan
                   .7  List of potential responses
                   .8 Risk threshold































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