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NorthAmOil                                  GUEST COMMENT                                         NorthAmOil








































       Persuade, invade, blockade:




       what is Beijing’s best





       strategy to reunify Taiwan?







       ASIA              A few months ago a poll of Taiwanese voters  unstoppable  force  towards  an  immovable
                         revealed that popular desire for independence  object has turned the spotlight onto the mil-
                         from China is hardening: 54% of respondents  itary options open to Beijing – options antic-
                         wanted early independence, while only 12.5%  ipated and authorised by Article 8 of China’s
                         wanted unification with Beijing. Hardening atti-  2005 Anti-Secession Law, which states that if
                         tudes in Taiwan reflect hardening attitudes in  Taiwan will not unify peacefully it must (the
                         Beijing, where President Xi (actually Chairman  Law says “shall”, not “may”) be unified by force
                         Xi, but let’s skip that detail) has unequivocally  of arms.
                         and repeatedly declared his intention to achieve   Taiwan lives entirely on imported energy,
                         unification, probably before he retires, whenever  importing 1mn barrels per day of oil and 2bn
                         that might be.                       cubic metres of gas per month. War with China
                           The approach  of  what  looks like  an  would be a disaster. ™

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       P16                                      www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 49   10•December•2020
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