Page 43 - The 'X' Chronicles Newspaper - February 2023 Edition
P. 43

Why Did China Use A Balloon To Spy?                                                                                          43





          In a world of drones and


           satellites, why use a spy
                 balloon anyway?




        In a world of advanced surveillance
        technology, including drones and
        satellites, why on earth would a country
        use a balloon for spying?


        That was the question on everyone’s
        mind this week after U.S. defense
        officials accused China of flying a high-
        altitude surveillance balloon over the
        continental United States, prompting

        Secretary of State  Antony Blinken to
        postpone his trip to China. China has
        denied the balloon was used for spying,
        saying it was used for scientific research       Macdonald, a professor and space offensive capability you would rather
        and was accidentally knocked off course          technology engineer from the University keep secret.”
        by westerly winds.                               of Strathclyde in Scotland. “The motion

                                                         of a satellite is very predictable, a balloon Shooting down balloons has proved
        A U.S. military aircraft downed the              (or other aircraft) offers the chance for an difficult in the past. In 1998, for example,
        balloon just off the Atlantic Coast, near        unexpected overflight, to catch those you Canadian, British and U.S. fighter jets

        the Carolinas, on Saturday.                      are observing by surprise,” Macdonald unsuccessfully attempted to shoot down a
                                                         said in an email. “You might hope to get rogue weather balloon that had forced
        But it’s only in the past 10 years or so that    something you might not see, or hear, passenger flights to divert.
        military attention has returned to               from space.”
        balloons, according to Michael Clarke, a                                                          The U.S. military had better luck this
        visiting professor at the Department of          Satellites can provide high-resolution time: Fighter aircraft, acting on an order
        War Studies at King’s College London,            imagery, Clarke said — but balloons can from President Biden, downed the
        “because they see how useful they are, or        stay over one area for longer periods than Chinese surveillance balloon off the
        can be.”                                         satellites, if the weather permits.              South Carolina coast on Saturday

                                                                                                          afternoon.
        “Balloons offer a few advantages over            There’s also the cost benefit: A satellite

        the use of satellites or drones,” James          may cost up to $300 million over its The repercussions of the action remain to
        Rogers, an academic at Cornell and the           lifetime, according to an estimate from be seen. But shooting down another
        University of Southern Denmark, who              2020; even the most high-tech balloon nation’s satellite would be both more
        advises the U.N. Security Council on the         would be cheaper.                                challenging and possibly herald an arms
        transnational threat of drones, said in an                                                        race in space or worse.
        email.                                           Macdonald, the professor from the

                                                         University of Strathclyde, said that “a The presence of another suspected
        “Not only are they cheaper than                  balloon is very difficult to see on radar, balloon over Latin  America only
        launching satellites into space, but by          although the sensor bay underneath will strengthens  Washington’s case that the

        operating within the bounds of the earth’s       be more visible.”                                balloons were dispatched deliberately,
        atmosphere, closer to the surface, they                                                           Clarke said.
        can obtain better quality images,” he            U.S. officials on  Thursday announced
        added. The latest generation of balloons         they had been tracking the balloon for a Steve  Tsang, the director of the China
        are high-tech in their own right,                couple of days, but waited to shoot it Institute at the University of London’s
        “envisaged as systems that can fly up to         down until Saturday, citing concerns School of Oriental and African Studies,
        90,000 feet” high, “deploy their own             about the potential for debris to hit people argued that any spy balloon would
        drone systems” and detect incoming               or property on the ground.                       probably be of “symbolic value, showing
        missiles.                                                                                         that the Chinese are able to send

                                                         Concern about revealing defense something in the air to survey U.S.
        Balloons can soar above the range of             capabilities might also have factored into military installations.”

        most planes, Clarke said, and their slow         the delay, Macdonald said.
        speed means they aren’t always picked                                                             “They’re doing it because for decades the
        up by radar.  Additional technology or           “Had they reacted sooner it would have U.S. [has] been sending spy planes along
        paint can help to conceal them further.          confirmed to the Chinese that U.S. air the Chinese coast and sometimes over
                                                         defenses had seen it,” he said of U.S. Chinese airspace to monitor the Chinese
        Balloons also have an advantage over             authorities. “If you know where it is, you in ways that they couldn’t do very much
        satellites because they are more                 can mitigate any risk it poses. But, if you about,” he said. “And now they can, so
        maneuverable, according to Malcolm               shoot it down you might expose an they are.” []
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