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表  7:投資組合在績效回測期間年化報酬率  (續)

                                                   自行預測每股盈餘                    券商預測每股盈餘
                      年度           項目
                                                期間報酬率  年化報酬率  期間報酬率  年化報酬率
                      2020      Equal Weight      12.52%        27.87%       27.85%        61.99%

                             Markowitz Weight     13.42%        29.86%       12.49%        27.79%

                             Risk Parity Weight   14.10%        31.38%       31.08%        69.16%

                                 元大 0050          27.36%        60.90%       27.36%        60.90%

                                 加權指數             29.63%        65.94%       29.63%        65.94%

                      2021      Equal Weight      -7.08%       -15.66%       -5.39%        -11.92%
                             Markowitz Weight     2.24%         4.95%        -9.00%        -19.91%

                             Risk Parity Weight   -2.92%        -6.46%       -3.63%        -8.04%

                                 元大 0050          -6.65%       -14.72%       -6.65%        -14.72%

                                 加權指數             -5.91%       -13.07%       -5.91%        -13.07%
                      2022      Equal Weight      20.67%        46.01%       22.72%        50.57%

                             Markowitz Weight     24.14%        53.73%       30.23%        67.28%

                             Risk Parity Weight   22.45%        49.97%       23.09%        51.40%

                                 元大 0050          4.66%         10.37%        4.66%        10.37%

                                 加權指數             7.10%         15.80%        7.10%        15.80%

                      2023      Equal Weight      69.71%       152.36%       15.65%        34.21%
                             Markowitz Weight     79.47%       173.70%       17.50%        38.25%

                             Risk Parity Weight   61.70%       134.86%       19.83%        43.35%

                                 元大 0050          24.04%        52.55%       24.04%        52.55%

                                 加權指數             19.08%        41.70%       19.08%        41.70%



                                       表  8:投資組合在績效回測期間年化報酬率
                                            自行預測每股盈餘                        券商預測每股盈餘
                          項目
                                      十年總報酬率  年化超額報酬率  十年總報酬率  年化超額報酬率

                      Equal Weight       256.85%         3.46%           251.80%          3.30%
                    Markowitz Weight     335.91%         5.76%           365.52%          6.52%

                    Risk Parity Weight   260.12%         3.56%           273.38%          3.98%
                   註:各投資策略之「超額報酬率」為其年化報酬率扣除追蹤大盤指數型 ETF (元大 0050)
                   之年化報酬率後所得,基準年化報酬為  10.11%。












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