Page 14 - AgriBrasilis 1st edition.pdf

14 March 2020 AgriBrasilis

traditional domestic market China has an oligopsony power autonomy. The crisis makes it
has been weakening. Thereby, over Brazil, as it buys between clear that speculative markets
despite being an important 60% and 80% of exported do not reflect the real economy,
supplier of basic commodities soybeans. Brazil is in the hands that destroying the capacity
to China, it occupies a of the Chinese. for public intervention can
subordinate position. In the The crisis exposes the be fatal and that having no
dispute between China and the fragility of Brazil’s option for international integration
USA, for example, the Chinese a subordinate insertion in the strategy means giving up any
prefer to buy North American international market as an power over your own economy.
soy even at high prices, given exporter of basic raw materials For this reason, the crisis in
that they sell manufactured to a single buyer. It does not Brazil, unlike 2008, can have
products to the USA. For them, present any strategic industrial far more serious consequences.
this relationship is strategic. policy or the search for some

那么它必须尽快恢复干预手 基本商品的重要供应国， 单一买方出口基本原材料选
段，以防止当前的危机演变 但巴西仍处于次要地位。例 择从属地进入国际市场的脆
成大灾难。 如，在中美争端中，为了向 弱性，它并未提出任何战略
在外贸上，巴西经济脆 美国销售产品，中国人宁愿 性工业政策或寻求某种自主
弱的最大原因是对中国经济 以高价购买北美大豆。对他 权。这场危机表明，投机市
结构和单方面的依赖。中国 们来说，这种关系是战略性 场反映的并非实体经济，破
对巴西很重要，但巴西对中 的。中国对巴西拥有着寡头 坏公共干预能力可能是致命
国来说却并非如此，中国产 垄断的力量，因为巴西60% 的，并且没有国际一体化战
品的主要市场并不在巴西。 至80%的出口大豆都是中国 略意味着放弃对本国经济的
随着近年来的危机，甚至传 人买走的。巴西的命运掌握 任何权力。因此，与2008
统的国内市场也一直走向疲 在中国人手里。 年不同，巴西的这次危机产
软。因此，虽然巴西是中国 这场危机暴露了巴西向 生的后果可能更为严重。