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AgriBrasilis       March 2020                                                                 11


                             Economic or health crisis?


                       The difficult situation of Brazil



                                       Article by Rubens Sawaya, Professor at PUC-SP
               Rubens    Sawaya    has   a
            degree in Economic Sciences,
            Master’s in Economics and PhD
            in Political Science from the
            Pontifical  Catholic  University
            of São Paulo (PUC - SP).
            Currently, he is Professor at
            the Department of Economics
            at PUC and Coordinator of
            the graduate program in
            Political Economy at the same
            institution, and is Director of
            the International Initiative for
            Promoting Political Economy
            (IIPE).
               Professor     writes    the
            following      article     for                                                                   PERSONAL COLLECTION
            AgriBrasilis where he portrays
            the macroeconomic scenario in
            which Brazil, and the world,
                                                                          Paulista Avenue, in São Paulo City, in the
            are facing the Coronavirus
                                                                                       second week of lockdown
            epidemic    (COVID-19),    and
            what  can  be  expected  in  the                                 于圣保罗保利斯塔大街,封城第二周
            near future.
                                              debt to save the speculative     Thus, in the last 10 years, they
               The solution to the 2008       markets in Europe and the        demanded in the world the end
            global crisis, a crisis that was   USA.  Contradictorily,  after   of the welfare State, “reforms”
            born in speculative markets,      the process, the recovered       with cuts in health, education,
            involved a large monetary         financial  markets  started  to   labor and social security
            issue and a sharp rise in public   accuse the State of “spender”.   rights. Thereby if, on the
                    经济危机或健康危机?巴西的困境


                                  文章由圣保罗天主教大学Rubens Sawaya教授所著


               Rubens        Sawaya拥有         疫情(COVID-19)下巴西                  福利国家的存在,并进行改
            圣保罗天主教大学(PUC-                     乃至世界所要面临的宏观经                     革以削减卫生、教育、劳动
            SP)的经济学学位,经济学                     济情景,及在不久的将来可                     和社会保障权利。因此,一
            硕士学位及政治科学博士学                      能会发生的情况。                         方面,如果国家提供的流动
            位。目前,他是圣保罗天主                        2008年全球危机(一场                   性在不影响实体经济或通胀
            教大学(PUC)经济系教授                     源于投机市场的危机)的解                     的情况下结束了投机泡沫的
            和政治经济学研究生课程的                      决办法涉及了大量的货币问                     再次扩大,另一方面,国家
            协调员,并且是促进政治经                      题和急剧上升的公债,以此                     被迫削弱了其所采取的反周
            济学的国际倡议(IIPE)主                    来拯救欧洲和美国的投机市                     期财政政策和削减社会政策
            任。                                场。但矛盾的是,采取相关                     资源的能力,这削弱了卫生
               Rubens  Sawaya教授为              措施后,复苏的投机市场却                     系统和致使工作的不稳定。
            AgriBrasilis撰写了以下文                指责国家的“挥霍”。所以在                    由此,完美的风暴场景应运
            章,其中描绘了在冠状病毒                      过去10年里,他们要求终结                    而生。
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