Page 53 - 哈佛商業評論2016年5月號：提升「失敗報酬率」
P. 53

㉴匕Ά㌁

    6327/,*+7












































                                54                64                76                  86
                                ਂλ⁕㌁ᙸਠ䠦           ՇΌՉ 䌵䞀/           㑄␠㥇㉙䜘ϓ⥤            5㌲⡙ҳء7
                                Planned          ¨Both/And©         Superforecastingj   剦倀ج
                                Opportunism       Leadership        How to Upgrade Your   How to
                                                                    Company's Judgment
                                䈂けg৷˖㢘ז历          㙷㠃gÒ♇㆐                                Hedge Your
                                Vijay Govindarajan  Wendy K. Smith  ᜉ啑g⥸ૠд              Strategic Bets
                                                                    Paul J.H. Schoemaker
                                                  䅂嘸τg㢁ᔨ㆐                               ʃよطgÒϖд
                                                  Marianne W. Lewis  ㎑лऌgइᤘд            George Stalk Jr.
                                                                    Philip E. Tetlock
                                                  ぅдg㕣ጀਟ                                ᚑᅦГgЎ䄵
                                                  Michael L. Tushmank                   Ashish Iyer


   䅳⡑ʔ䕁֛ϋA















                                                                      啗⥤Ъ᝖j⤴זg⥁л㆐	Sarah Morris
d
                                                         儷⡐	ጔ 
	GloboRio
d2013 ϋd↗ᜁΈ䄔啉ᔥ㌁̺f



                                                      و堰הϞg䐘Ὶቴx May 2016 x᝘Нਠุ㐗䘸Ό⡐冃夑ʕ˖و  53
   48   49   50   51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58