Page 77 - 哈佛商業評論2016年5月號：提升「失敗報酬率」
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⤈厈ձ℠ɛ⦙੬ʔ㍕㥇㉙Kᘩጣᘥ̙ঐᒄd

      ʔ㤄ɓøк匷䦅䉨d̙ঐึ〇ϓ噄₀ᘥᠡᕄf⁓ҷ㍕㥇㉙ঐd
      Άุ̙W〈㤄━䕦Ըҷ㍕℠ɛ㥇㉙ঐe㢔m䀀㒇Ըㅲ˝㥇㉙㙹䕁᠑d

      Wʿ䤳㑰䈢┣吧㥇㉙㍄ᕄdጠጄ。ㅲԶΫ㉿จኈf





      Ӕ㌲䕠*失‘̡к匷һŒ䐄䑷


      㑄␠㥇㉙䜘ϓ⥤



      Superforecasting:How to Upgrade Your Company's Judgment

      ᜉ啑g⥸ૠд Paul J.H. Schoemaker

      ㎑лऌgइᤘд Philip E. Tetlock



















                                                      و堰הϞg䐘Ὶቴx May 2016 x᝘Нਠุ㐗䘸Ό⡐冃夑ʕ˖و  77
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