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OTE/SPH
 OTE/SPH
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                         3:7
          August 31, 2006
 JWBK119-21
        334             Establishing Cumulative Conformance Count Charts
                                                            UCL
                                 Warning zone
                                                            UDL
                           4 consecutive
                          points on one side                       1 point within the
                          of the center line                CL      warning zone
                              (CL)


                                                            LDL
                                 Warning zone
                                                            LCL





                           Figure 21.3 Warning zones o the CCC chart.



        21.4.2 Establishing a CCC chart with the conventional estimator

        When the conventional estimator of p is used, the control limits of the CCC chart
        can be obtained from equations (21.16) and (21.17) after estimating p 0 from the initial
        sample. Similarly, to achieve the desired ARL 0 , φ n and γ n can be obtained from (21.15)
        and (21.4) respectively, given the sample size n and ˆp.
          To facilitate the construction of the CCC chart, Table 21.4 gives the values of φ n for
        different n and ˆp ranging from 0.0001 to 0.001, with ARL 0 = 370, when p 0 is estimated
        using the conventional estimator. The last row of the table (n =∞) is the value where
        p 0 is given, which is φ from Table 1. As expected, the value of φ n approaches φ as
        the sample size increases. The values given in this table can be used as the input for
        constructing the CCC chart if the desired ARL 0 is 370. Unlike Tables 21.1 and 21.2,
        these φ n values are dependent on ˆp.
          It also worth noting that in adopting the conventional estimator there could be no
        nonconforming items in the initial sample. This will lead to a situation where sample
        size is increased incrementally until some arbitrary numbers of nonconforming items
        are observed. In doing so, the resulting estimate of p 0 will be biased. A simple way of
        avoiding this problem is to ensure that the probability of having at least one noncon-
        forming item is sufficiently large in the initial sample. For example, the sample size
        for a preliminary value of p 0 = 100 ppm and a 90% chance of observing at least one
        nonconforming item is


               ln (0.1)
          n =           ≈ 23 000.
              ln (1 − p 0 )

                               6
          Nevertheless, Yang et al. concluded that the sample size used for estimation should
        be large enough for better performance of the chart, which is evident from Figure 21.2.
        An updating scheme similar to that of the sequential estimate can be adopted.
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