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Email	Opt-In/Beta	Signup	Totals	Do	Not	Indicate	Purchase	Intent

Email	signups	are	often	considered	the	key	indicator	of	whether	an	idea	is	sound.

With	the	first	version	of	my	analytics	dashboard,	I	had	1,000	people	sign	up	for
the	 beta	 (three	 months)	 and	 1,200	 people	 enter	 their	 email	 to	 be	 notified	 of
launch.

These	may	seem	like	small	numbers,	but	it	took	five	years	to	build	up	an	email
list	of	2,000	people	in	my	last	business.	I	really	felt	like	I	was	onto	a	winner.

There	 is	 a	 very	 big	 difference	 between	 someone	 entering	 their	 email	 and
someone	paying	you	each	month	for	a	product.	I’ve	consistently	discovered	that
once	I	launch	a	product,	on	page	conversions	go	down.	It’s	easy	for	someone	to
enter	their	email	to	be	notified.

It’s	much	harder	for	someone	to	sign	up,	try,	and	use	a	new	service.

People	Saying	“It’s	a	Good	Idea”	Doesn’t	Mean	It	Is

As	part	of	validating	Buffer,	Joel	Gascoigne	“simply	tweeted	the	link	and	asked
people	what	they	thought	of	the	idea.”

His	post	on	validating	Buffer	indicates	that	he	read	a	lot	into	this:

     “After	 a	 few	 people	 used	 it	 to	 give	 me	 their	 email	 and	 I	 got	 some	 useful
     feedback	 via	 email	 and	 Twitter,	 I	 considered	 it	 validated.	 In	 the	 words	 of
     Eric	Ries,	I	had	my	first	validated	learning	about	customers”.

Really?	 A	 few	 of	 your	 mates	 said	 it	 was	 a	 good	 idea	 and	 therefore	 it’s
“validated?”

It	turns	out	that	Buffer	was	a	good	idea	and	a	product	that	people	were	willing	to
pay	for.	Does	that	mean	the	validation	technique	was	a	good	one?	I	don’t	think
so.

Here	are	some	of	the	things	that	people	around	me	said	when	I	built	Informly:
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