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Avoid	Failed	Validation	Techniques	

“The	Lean	Startup”	movement	has	made	people	think	that	business	has	become
a	 simple	 scientific	 experiment.	 Pre-sell	 $10,000	 worth	 of	 your	 product	 and
there’s	a	definite	need	there.	Create	a	landing	page,	and	if	you	get	conversions	of
over	30%,	then	you	have	a	great	business.

It’s	validated.

In	 rare	 circumstances,	 this	 works.	 Let’s	 delve	 into	 some	 of	 the	 reasons	 why,	 in
most	cases,	it	doesn’t.

Validation	Doesn’t	Work	Well	When	the	Answer	Isn’t	an	Obvious
“YES”

The	popular	stories	you	hear	about	startup	validation	go	something	like	this:

  1.	I	created	a	website	with	a	brief	video.
  2.	It	went	viral.
  3.	I	bought	a	yacht.

Dropbox	started	from	a	3-minute	video	posted	to	Hacker	News	and	their	signup
list	 jumped	 to	 75,000	 people	 in	 one	 day.	 At	 the	 time	 of	 writing	 they	 are	 now	 a
$10	billion	company.

That’s	great	if	you	can	get	75,000	opt-ins	in	one	day.	But	if	you	don’t,	is	it	a	bad
idea?	 Maybe	 you	 just	 don’t	 have	 much	 kudos	 on	 Hacker	 News.	 Maybe	 people
don’t	understand	it.	Maybe	your	video	is	crap.	Maybe	the	right	people	didn’t	see
it.

The	 reality	 is	 that	 most	 ideas	 aren’t	 going	 to	 go	 viral.	 Let’s	 face	 it:	 the	 chances
of	 you	 coming	 up	 with	 the	 next	 Dropbox	 are	 low.	 This	 is	 particularly	 true	 for
bootstrapped	companies.
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