Page 8 - FINAL CFA II SLIDES JUNE 2019 DAY 7
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LOS 27.c: Estimate the required return on an equity investment using
the capital asset pricing model, the Fama–French model, the Pastor– READING 27: RETURN CONCEPTS
Stambaugh model, macroeconomic multifactor models, and the
build-up method (e.g., bond yield plus risk premium).
MODULE 27.1: RETURN CONCEPTS
Capital Asset Pricing Model:
required return on stock j = risk-free rate + (equity risk premium × beta of j)
EXAMPLE:The current expected risk-free rate is 4%, the equity risk premium is 3.9%, and the beta Answer:
is 0.8. Calculate the required return on equity. 7.12% = 4% + (3.9% × 0.8)
Multifactor Models EXAMPLE: Applying the CAPM and the Fama-French Model. Suppose we derive the
required return = RF + (risk premium) + (risk premium) + … + (risk premium) n following factor values from market data:
2
1
Stock j has a CAPM beta = 1.3. It is a small-cap growth stock
Where: that has traded at a low book to market in recent years. Using
(risk premium) = (factor sensitivity) × (factor risk premium) . i FF model, we estimate the following betas for stock j.
i
Calculate the required return on equity using the CAPM
i
the expected return and the Fama-French models:
beta factor! above the risk-free rate
from a unit sensitivity to
the factor and zero CAPM estimate:
sensitivity to all other 3.4% + (1.3 × 4.8%) = 9.64%
factors.
FF estimate =
3.4% + (1.2 × 4.8%) + (0.4 × 2.4%) + (–0.2 × 1.6%) = 9.8%
Example is Fama-French Model:
required return of stock j = RF + β mkt,j × (R mkt − RF) + β SMB,j × (R small − R ) + β HML,j × (R HBM − R LBM )
big
where:
(R mkt − RF) = return on a value-weighted market index minus the risk-free rate
(R small − R big ) = a small-cap return premium equal to the average return on small-cap portfolios minus the average return on large-cap portfolios
(R HBM − R LBM ) = a value return premium equal to the average return on high book-to-market portfolios minus the average return on low book-to-market portfolios
Pastor-Stambaugh Model: Adds a liquidity beta factor to the Fama-French model. The baseline value for the liquidity factor beta is zero. Less liquid assets
should have a + beta, while more liquid assets should have a -ve beta.
EXAMPLE: Assume a liquidity premium of 4%, the same factor risk premiums as before, and the following sensitivities for stock k:
Calculate the cost of capital using the Pastor-Stambaugh model.
cost of capital =
3.4% + (0.9 × 4.8%) + (–0.2 × 2.4%) + (0.2 × 1.6%) + (–0.1 × 4%) = 7.16%